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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Oregon

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Oregon

Jo Rae Perkins 60%

David Brock Smith 26.2%

Russell McAlmond 5.2%

David Burch 1.6%

Polymarket

$71,015 Vol.

Jo Rae Perkins 60%

David Brock Smith 26.2%

Russell McAlmond 5.2%

David Burch 1.6%

Polymarket

$71,015 Vol.

Jo Rae Perkins

$11,618 Vol.

60%

David Brock Smith

$1,803 Vol.

26%

Russell McAlmond

$11,500 Vol.

5%

David Burch

$22,261 Vol.

2%

Tim Skelton

$8,073 Vol.

2%

Brent Barker

$567 Vol.

1%

Deborah C. Brown

$567 Vol.

1%

Joe Johnson

$8,726 Vol.

1%

Douglas T. Muck Jr.

$5,901 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Oregon Republican U.S. Senate primary heavily favors Jo Rae Perkins at 60% implied probability, driven by her name recognition from winning the 2020 GOP nomination and her February switch from the OR-5 House race to this contest, reinforced by a March 1 media interview outlining her campaign. State Sen. David Brock Smith has surged to 26% following his March 3 announcement, leveraging legislative experience on public safety, homelessness, and addiction amid Oregon's urban challenges, with recent GOP events like his March 29 Clackamas County appearance building momentum. Absent public polls, first-quarter fundraising reports due soon could shift dynamics ahead of the May 19 primary, where low turnout often rewards base-favorite incumbency challengers.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon.

If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$71,015
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Oregon Republican U.S. Senate primary heavily favors Jo Rae Perkins at 60% implied probability, driven by her name recognition from winning the 2020 GOP nomination and her February switch from the OR-5 House race to this contest, reinforced by a March 1 media interview outlining her campaign. State Sen. David Brock Smith has surged to 26% following his March 3 announcement, leveraging legislative experience on public safety, homelessness, and addiction amid Oregon's urban challenges, with recent GOP events like his March 29 Clackamas County appearance building momentum. Absent public polls, first-quarter fundraising reports due soon could shift dynamics ahead of the May 19 primary, where low turnout often rewards base-favorite incumbency challengers.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon.

If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$71,015
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Oregon" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jo Rae Perkins" at 60%, followed by "David Brock Smith" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Oregon" has generated $71K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Oregon," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Oregon" is "Jo Rae Perkins" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "David Brock Smith" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Oregon" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.