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Eleições·Primária Do Senado

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Dakota do Sul

Market icon
Eleições·Primária Do Senado

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Dakota do Sul

Mike Rounds 95%

Kristi Noem 2.6%

Justin McNeal 2.5%

Polymarket

$20,083 Vol.

Mike Rounds 95%

Kristi Noem 2.6%

Justin McNeal 2.5%

Polymarket

$20,083 Vol.

Mike Rounds

$3,809 Vol.

95%

Kristi Noem

$2,196 Vol.

3%

Justin McNeal

$14,077 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Mike Rounds holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in the South Dakota Republican Senate primary on June 2, driven by his entrenched incumbency advantage in the deeply red state, where sitting senators rarely face credible primary threats—evidenced by his 75% win in 2020. Navy veteran Justin McNeal launched his challenge in early March, but lacks polling traction or major endorsements, while speculation around former DHS Secretary Kristi Noem faded after the March 31 petition filing deadline passed without her entry, as she transitioned to a Special Envoy role. Traders' consensus underscores structural barriers to an upset, though a high-profile endorsement reversal, scandal, or fundraising surge for McNeal could shift dynamics ahead of absentee voting starting April 17.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota.

If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$20,083
Data de Término
28 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Mike Rounds holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in the South Dakota Republican Senate primary on June 2, driven by his entrenched incumbency advantage in the deeply red state, where sitting senators rarely face credible primary threats—evidenced by his 75% win in 2020. Navy veteran Justin McNeal launched his challenge in early March, but lacks polling traction or major endorsements, while speculation around former DHS Secretary Kristi Noem faded after the March 31 petition filing deadline passed without her entry, as she transitioned to a Special Envoy role. Traders' consensus underscores structural barriers to an upset, though a high-profile endorsement reversal, scandal, or fundraising surge for McNeal could shift dynamics ahead of absentee voting starting April 17.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota.

If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$20,083
Data de Término
28 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Dakota do Sul" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mike Rounds" at 95%, followed by "Kristi Noem" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Dakota do Sul" has generated $20.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Dakota do Sul," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Dakota do Sul" is "Mike Rounds" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kristi Noem" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Dakota do Sul" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.