Market icon
Eleições·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Virgín

Market icon
Eleições·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Virgín

Shelley Moore Capito 98.0%

Tom Willis 1.4%

Alexander Gaasserud <1%

Polymarket

$14,942 Vol.

Shelley Moore Capito 98.0%

Tom Willis 1.4%

Alexander Gaasserud <1%

Polymarket

$14,942 Vol.

Shelley Moore Capito

$5,827 Vol.

98%

Tom Willis

$4,013 Vol.

1%

Alexander Gaasserud

$5,103 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia. If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Shelley Moore Capito dominates trader consensus at 97.5% to win the West Virginia Republican Senate primary on May 12, driven by her strong incumbency advantage, superior fundraising, and recent endorsements including from the Gas and Oil Association of WV on March 18. State Senator Tom Willis and challenger Alexander Gaaserud, who recently pitched at local GOP events, lack statewide name recognition and resources to mount a credible threat in this deep-red state where Capito won reelection by wide margins in 2020. While fringe anti-establishment sentiment persists online, no polls show momentum shifting; late scandals, health issues, or a surprise high-profile defection could theoretically challenge her, though structural barriers remain formidable.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia.

If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$14,942
Data de Término
12 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia. If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia. If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Shelley Moore Capito dominates trader consensus at 97.5% to win the West Virginia Republican Senate primary on May 12, driven by her strong incumbency advantage, superior fundraising, and recent endorsements including from the Gas and Oil Association of WV on March 18. State Senator Tom Willis and challenger Alexander Gaaserud, who recently pitched at local GOP events, lack statewide name recognition and resources to mount a credible threat in this deep-red state where Capito won reelection by wide margins in 2020. While fringe anti-establishment sentiment persists online, no polls show momentum shifting; late scandals, health issues, or a surprise high-profile defection could theoretically challenge her, though structural barriers remain formidable.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia.

If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$14,942
Data de Término
12 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia. If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Virgín" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Shelley Moore Capito" at 98%, followed by "Tom Willis" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Virgín" has generated $14.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Virgín," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Virgín" is "Shelley Moore Capito" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tom Willis" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Virgín" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.