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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de New Hampshire

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de New Hampshire

John E. Sununu 89%

Scott Brown 7.1%

Dan Innis 3.5%

Chris Sununu 1.6%

Polymarket
NOVO

John E. Sununu 89%

Scott Brown 7.1%

Dan Innis 3.5%

Chris Sununu 1.6%

Polymarket
NOVO

John E. Sununu

$3,209 Vol.

89%

Scott Brown

$403 Vol.

7%

Dan Innis

$0 Vol.

4%

Chris Sununu

$0 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Former U.S. Senator John E. Sununu dominates trader consensus at 89% implied probability to win New Hampshire's Republican Senate primary on September 8, driven by his commanding leads in recent polls, including an Emerson College survey from March 21-23 showing him at 48% against Scott Brown's 19%. Sununu's edge stems from strong name recognition via prior Senate service (2003-2009), the influential Sununu family political legacy in the state, and key endorsements from Donald Trump in February and Americans for Prosperity Action in November 2025. Scott Brown trails at 6% despite past NH campaigns, hampered by weaker polling, while Dan Innis lingers at 3% and brother Chris Sununu at 2%, reflecting his decision against entering the race. No major shifts have occurred in the past week, solidifying Sununu's frontrunner status amid a competitive open-seat battleground.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$3,612
Data de Término
8 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Former U.S. Senator John E. Sununu dominates trader consensus at 89% implied probability to win New Hampshire's Republican Senate primary on September 8, driven by his commanding leads in recent polls, including an Emerson College survey from March 21-23 showing him at 48% against Scott Brown's 19%. Sununu's edge stems from strong name recognition via prior Senate service (2003-2009), the influential Sununu family political legacy in the state, and key endorsements from Donald Trump in February and Americans for Prosperity Action in November 2025. Scott Brown trails at 6% despite past NH campaigns, hampered by weaker polling, while Dan Innis lingers at 3% and brother Chris Sununu at 2%, reflecting his decision against entering the race. No major shifts have occurred in the past week, solidifying Sununu's frontrunner status amid a competitive open-seat battleground.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$3,612
Data de Término
8 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de New Hampshire" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "John E. Sununu" at 89%, followed by "Scott Brown" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de New Hampshire" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 2, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de New Hampshire," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de New Hampshire" is "John E. Sununu" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Scott Brown" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de New Hampshire" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.