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EleiçõEs PrimáRias previsões e probabilidades

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How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

75%

0

$6.3K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

86%

2

$7.2K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

16%

>15

$60.2K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

1

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

41%

4-6

$2.3K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

99%

Xavier Becerra

$882K Vol.

$670K Liq.

10

Ends há 15 dias

WA-03 Primary Winners

WA-03 Primary Winners

97%

John Braun

$45.6K Vol.

$40.6K Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

California Governor Primary Election: Santa Clara County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: Santa Clara County Winner

93%

Xavier Becerra

$10.4K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

Ends há 15 dias

California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner

98%

Steve Hilton

$4.8K Vol.

$28.9K Liq.

1

Ends há 15 dias

California Governor Primary Election: Los Angeles County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: Los Angeles County Winner

99%

Xavier Becerra

$27.2K Vol.

$55.4K Liq.

Ends há 15 dias

Alaska At-Large Primary Winners

Alaska At-Large Primary Winners

94%

Nick Begich III

$9.0K Vol.

$35.0K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

96%

Tom Begich

$199K Vol.

$82.3K Liq.

2

Ends em 2 meses

California Governor Primary Election: San Francisco Winner

California Governor Primary Election: San Francisco Winner

97%

Tom Steyer

$9.4K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

1

Ends há 15 dias

NY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory

NY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory

50%

Lasher <5%

$0 Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

California Governor Primary Election: San Diego County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: San Diego County Winner

96%

Steve Hilton

$8.7K Vol.

$40.4K Liq.

Ends há 15 dias

Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner

75%

Therese Terlaje

$19.3K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout

KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout

100%

100-110k

$48.1K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

1

Ends há 29 dias

MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner

MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner

49%

Wesley Bell

$16.1K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner

Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner

53%

Frank F. Blas Jr.

$29.7K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

2

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner

MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner

83%

Matt Little

$33.5K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner

MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner

90%

Ilhan Omar

$27.3K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like EleiçõEs PrimáRias.

Polymarket currently hosts 148 active markets for EleiçõEs PrimáRias that lets you track or trade on predictions like “How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary? ”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “California Governor Primary Election: First Place,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “California Governor Primary Election: First Place,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to Xavier Becerra. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on EleiçõEs PrimáRias predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.