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Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire

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Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire

Cinde Warmington 77%

Tom Sherman 6.0%

John Kiper 6%

Deaglan McEachern 3.3%

Polymarket

$21,186 Vol.

Cinde Warmington 77%

Tom Sherman 6.0%

John Kiper 6%

Deaglan McEachern 3.3%

Polymarket

$21,186 Vol.

Cinde Warmington

$8,397 Vol.

77%

Tom Sherman

$1,693 Vol.

6%

John Kiper

$2,203 Vol.

6%

Deaglan McEachern

$8,101 Vol.

3%

Donovan Fenton

$791 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Cinde Warmington leads trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability in the New Hampshire Democratic gubernatorial primary on September 8, driven by her statewide name recognition as former Executive Councilor, early February campaign launch, and competitive general election polling against Republican incumbent Kelly Ayotte, including a recent Saint Anselm College survey showing her trailing 46-39%. John Kiper trails at 6%, hampered by his April 14 announcement to bypass the primary and pursue an independent general election bid after switching parties earlier. State Senator Tom Sherman holds 5.8% on prior 2022 gubernatorial experience, while lower odds for Deaglan McEachern and Donovan Fenton reflect limited traction amid no recent Democratic primary polls or major endorsements. Upcoming June filing deadlines could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$21,186
Data de Término
8 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Cinde Warmington leads trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability in the New Hampshire Democratic gubernatorial primary on September 8, driven by her statewide name recognition as former Executive Councilor, early February campaign launch, and competitive general election polling against Republican incumbent Kelly Ayotte, including a recent Saint Anselm College survey showing her trailing 46-39%. John Kiper trails at 6%, hampered by his April 14 announcement to bypass the primary and pursue an independent general election bid after switching parties earlier. State Senator Tom Sherman holds 5.8% on prior 2022 gubernatorial experience, while lower odds for Deaglan McEachern and Donovan Fenton reflect limited traction amid no recent Democratic primary polls or major endorsements. Upcoming June filing deadlines could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$21,186
Data de Término
8 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cinde Warmington" at 77%, followed by "Tom Sherman" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire" has generated $21.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire" is "Cinde Warmington" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tom Sherman" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.