Market icon

NH-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Market icon

NH-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Stefany Shaheen 62%

Maura Sullivan 27%

Carleigh Beriont 11%

Heath Howard 2.3%

Polymarket
NOVO

Stefany Shaheen 62%

Maura Sullivan 27%

Carleigh Beriont 11%

Heath Howard 2.3%

Polymarket
NOVO

Stefany Shaheen

$6,982 Vol.

62%

Maura Sullivan

$1,324 Vol.

27%

Carleigh Beriont

$1,317 Vol.

11%

Heath Howard

$271 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Stefany Shaheen at 62% implied probability to win the New Hampshire 1st District Democratic primary on September 8, driven by her family political legacy—daughter of Sen. Jeanne Shaheen and granddaughter of ex-Gov. John Lynch—bolstered by local endorsements like Portsmouth leaders and early labor backing, positioning her as the establishment frontrunner in this open seat race. Maura Sullivan's odds rose to 27% following her campaign's April announcement of over $700,000 raised in Q1 2026, outpacing Shaheen by $200,000 and highlighting her Marine veteran credentials, Obama administration experience, and recent anti-corruption platform amid strong donor momentum. Progressive Hampton selectwoman Carleigh Beriont holds 11% with a pledge against corporate PAC money, while state Rep. Heath Howard trails at 2% as a Gen-Z longshot, with no recent polls shifting the closely watched early dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$9,894
Data de Término
8 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Stefany Shaheen at 62% implied probability to win the New Hampshire 1st District Democratic primary on September 8, driven by her family political legacy—daughter of Sen. Jeanne Shaheen and granddaughter of ex-Gov. John Lynch—bolstered by local endorsements like Portsmouth leaders and early labor backing, positioning her as the establishment frontrunner in this open seat race. Maura Sullivan's odds rose to 27% following her campaign's April announcement of over $700,000 raised in Q1 2026, outpacing Shaheen by $200,000 and highlighting her Marine veteran credentials, Obama administration experience, and recent anti-corruption platform amid strong donor momentum. Progressive Hampton selectwoman Carleigh Beriont holds 11% with a pledge against corporate PAC money, while state Rep. Heath Howard trails at 2% as a Gen-Z longshot, with no recent polls shifting the closely watched early dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$9,894
Data de Término
8 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NH-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Stefany Shaheen" at 62%, followed by "Maura Sullivan" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NH-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 25, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NH-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NH-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "Stefany Shaheen" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Maura Sullivan" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NH-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.