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NH-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

icon for NH-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

NH-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Stefany Shaheen 60%

Maura Sullivan 23%

Carleigh Beriont 7%

Heath Howard 0

Polymarket

$14,034 Vol.

Stefany Shaheen 60%

Maura Sullivan 23%

Carleigh Beriont 7%

Heath Howard 0

Polymarket

$14,034 Vol.

Stefany Shaheen

$8,541 Vol.

60%

Maura Sullivan

$3,548 Vol.

39%

Carleigh Beriont

$1,448 Vol.

7%

Heath Howard

$498 Vol.

48%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Stefany Shaheen at 60% implied probability to win New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on September 8, driven by her consistent polling lead in recent Saint Anselm and WMUR surveys, bolstered by family name recognition from Sen. Jeanne Shaheen and new endorsements from Portsmouth leaders. Maura Sullivan trails closely at 43.5%, supported by dominant first-quarter fundraising exceeding rivals and her Marine veteran credentials plus Obama administration experience, positioning her as a general election contender in the open seat vacated by Rep. Chris Pappas' Senate bid. Heath Howard at 41.6% gains progressive momentum via recent pro-Palestinian advocacy and forums, while Carleigh Beriont lags at 7%; upcoming candidate debates could shift dynamics in this competitive multicandidate field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,034
Data de Término
8 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Stefany Shaheen at 60% implied probability to win New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on September 8, driven by her consistent polling lead in recent Saint Anselm and WMUR surveys, bolstered by family name recognition from Sen. Jeanne Shaheen and new endorsements from Portsmouth leaders. Maura Sullivan trails closely at 43.5%, supported by dominant first-quarter fundraising exceeding rivals and her Marine veteran credentials plus Obama administration experience, positioning her as a general election contender in the open seat vacated by Rep. Chris Pappas' Senate bid. Heath Howard at 41.6% gains progressive momentum via recent pro-Palestinian advocacy and forums, while Carleigh Beriont lags at 7%; upcoming candidate debates could shift dynamics in this competitive multicandidate field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,034
Data de Término
8 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NH-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Stefany Shaheen" at 60%, followed by "Heath Howard" at 48%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NH-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" has generated $14K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NH-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NH-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "Stefany Shaheen" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Heath Howard" at 48%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NH-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.