Trader consensus favors Stefany Shaheen at 62% implied probability to win the New Hampshire 1st District Democratic primary on September 8, driven by her family political legacy—daughter of Sen. Jeanne Shaheen and granddaughter of ex-Gov. John Lynch—bolstered by local endorsements like Portsmouth leaders and early labor backing, positioning her as the establishment frontrunner in this open seat race. Maura Sullivan's odds rose to 27% following her campaign's April announcement of over $700,000 raised in Q1 2026, outpacing Shaheen by $200,000 and highlighting her Marine veteran credentials, Obama administration experience, and recent anti-corruption platform amid strong donor momentum. Progressive Hampton selectwoman Carleigh Beriont holds 11% with a pledge against corporate PAC money, while state Rep. Heath Howard trails at 2% as a Gen-Z longshot, with no recent polls shifting the closely watched early dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoStefany Shaheen 62%
Maura Sullivan 27%
Carleigh Beriont 11%
Heath Howard 2.3%
Stefany Shaheen
62%
Maura Sullivan
27%
Carleigh Beriont
11%
Heath Howard
2%
Stefany Shaheen 62%
Maura Sullivan 27%
Carleigh Beriont 11%
Heath Howard 2.3%
Stefany Shaheen
62%
Maura Sullivan
27%
Carleigh Beriont
11%
Heath Howard
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Stefany Shaheen at 62% implied probability to win the New Hampshire 1st District Democratic primary on September 8, driven by her family political legacy—daughter of Sen. Jeanne Shaheen and granddaughter of ex-Gov. John Lynch—bolstered by local endorsements like Portsmouth leaders and early labor backing, positioning her as the establishment frontrunner in this open seat race. Maura Sullivan's odds rose to 27% following her campaign's April announcement of over $700,000 raised in Q1 2026, outpacing Shaheen by $200,000 and highlighting her Marine veteran credentials, Obama administration experience, and recent anti-corruption platform amid strong donor momentum. Progressive Hampton selectwoman Carleigh Beriont holds 11% with a pledge against corporate PAC money, while state Rep. Heath Howard trails at 2% as a Gen-Z longshot, with no recent polls shifting the closely watched early dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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