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NH-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

icon for NH-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

NH-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Stefany Shaheen 60%

Maura Sullivan 31%

Heath Howard 7.5%

Carleigh Beriont 7%

Polymarket

$14,035 Vol.

Stefany Shaheen 60%

Maura Sullivan 31%

Heath Howard 7.5%

Carleigh Beriont 7%

Polymarket

$14,035 Vol.

Stefany Shaheen

$8,541 Vol.

60%

Maura Sullivan

$3,548 Vol.

31%

Heath Howard

$498 Vol.

8%

Carleigh Beriont

$1,448 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Stefany Shaheen leads the trader consensus for the New Hampshire First Congressional District Democratic primary as the daughter of U.S. Senator Jeanne Shaheen, a factor amplified by recent endorsements from every Democratic mayor across the district and strong local fundraising that has built over one million dollars in cash on hand. Maura Sullivan, a former Defense Department official and 2018 candidate with a Marine Corps background, maintains a solid second position through consistent quarterly fundraising leadership and established party ties. Heath Howard, a sitting state representative, and Carleigh Beriont, a Hampton selectwoman, trail with smaller shares amid a field focused on issues such as immigration reform and affordable housing during recent candidate forums. The September 8 primary remains open following the retirement of the current incumbent, with no major shifts reported in the past month that have altered the relative standings reflected in current market pricing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,035
Data de Término
8 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Stefany Shaheen leads the trader consensus for the New Hampshire First Congressional District Democratic primary as the daughter of U.S. Senator Jeanne Shaheen, a factor amplified by recent endorsements from every Democratic mayor across the district and strong local fundraising that has built over one million dollars in cash on hand. Maura Sullivan, a former Defense Department official and 2018 candidate with a Marine Corps background, maintains a solid second position through consistent quarterly fundraising leadership and established party ties. Heath Howard, a sitting state representative, and Carleigh Beriont, a Hampton selectwoman, trail with smaller shares amid a field focused on issues such as immigration reform and affordable housing during recent candidate forums. The September 8 primary remains open following the retirement of the current incumbent, with no major shifts reported in the past month that have altered the relative standings reflected in current market pricing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,035
Data de Término
8 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NH-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Stefany Shaheen" at 60%, followed by "Maura Sullivan" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NH-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" has generated $14K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NH-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NH-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "Stefany Shaheen" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Maura Sullivan" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NH-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.