Trader consensus clusters tightly around mid-80s highs for Houston on March 26, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a sunny day with temperatures peaking near 85°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering south-southeast winds of 5-10 mph. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a narrow spread of 82-87°F, differentiating leaders via subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convective potential—minimal cloud cover and dry soils amplify surface heating, tilting odds toward 84-85°F (21%) over slightly cooler 80-81°F (20%) if sea-breeze moderation strengthens. Historical March 26 averages hover at 76°F, but this anomalously warm setup exceeds norms amid broader Texas ridging. Key watch: evening model updates could shift the 2-3°F spread.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on March 26?
Highest temperature in Houston on March 26?
84-85°F 21%
82-83°F 21%
80-81°F 20%
86-87°F 19%
73°F or below
8%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
21%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
17%
92°F or higher
2%
84-85°F 21%
82-83°F 21%
80-81°F 20%
86-87°F 19%
73°F or below
8%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
21%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
17%
92°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:25 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around mid-80s highs for Houston on March 26, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a sunny day with temperatures peaking near 85°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering south-southeast winds of 5-10 mph. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a narrow spread of 82-87°F, differentiating leaders via subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convective potential—minimal cloud cover and dry soils amplify surface heating, tilting odds toward 84-85°F (21%) over slightly cooler 80-81°F (20%) if sea-breeze moderation strengthens. Historical March 26 averages hover at 76°F, but this anomalously warm setup exceeds norms amid broader Texas ridging. Key watch: evening model updates could shift the 2-3°F spread.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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