Trader consensus favors 27°C (36%) as Taipei's highest temperature on March 23, propelled by the latest Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project peaks near 27°C amid southerly winds advecting warm, moist air from the tropics. March historical highs in Taipei average 23-25°C, but recent observations show daytime maxima climbing into the mid-20s amid reduced northeasterly influences, elevating probabilities for 26°C (26%) and 25°C (18.5%). Lower odds for extremes reflect model convergence on mild spring conditions, with minimal risk of heatwaves (32°C+ at 3.5%) or cool snaps, though final CWA updates could shift implied odds before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on March 23?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 23?
26°C 26%
27°C 26%
25°C 18%
24°C 16%
22°C or below
9%
23°C
14%
24°C
16%
25°C
18%
26°C
26%
27°C
35%
28°C
13%
29°C
9%
30°C
8%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
4%
26°C 26%
27°C 26%
25°C 18%
24°C 16%
22°C or below
9%
23°C
14%
24°C
16%
25°C
18%
26°C
26%
27°C
35%
28°C
13%
29°C
9%
30°C
8%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 27°C (36%) as Taipei's highest temperature on March 23, propelled by the latest Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project peaks near 27°C amid southerly winds advecting warm, moist air from the tropics. March historical highs in Taipei average 23-25°C, but recent observations show daytime maxima climbing into the mid-20s amid reduced northeasterly influences, elevating probabilities for 26°C (26%) and 25°C (18.5%). Lower odds for extremes reflect model convergence on mild spring conditions, with minimal risk of heatwaves (32°C+ at 3.5%) or cool snaps, though final CWA updates could shift implied odds before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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