Trader sentiment favors a high of 54°F or higher in Seattle on March 24 at 46% implied probability, driven primarily by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime maximum near 54°F under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble models converge on this range, reflecting a mild Pacific high-pressure ridge suppressing cooler marine air intrusion typical for late March. Historical data shows Seattle's March 24 average high at 55°F, with recent days trending 2-3°F above normal amid weakening Arctic outflows. Uncertainty lingers from potential overnight cloud cover, but model consensus positions 52-54°F as the leading cluster, influencing traders to overweight warmer outcomes ahead of morning soundings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on March 24?
Highest temperature in Seattle on March 24?
54°F or higher 47%
52-53°F 26%
50-51°F 25%
48-49°F 9%
35°F or below
<1%
36-37°F
<1%
38-39°F
1%
40-41°F
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
2%
46-47°F
4%
48-49°F
9%
50-51°F
23%
52-53°F
22%
54°F or higher
47%
54°F or higher 47%
52-53°F 26%
50-51°F 25%
48-49°F 9%
35°F or below
<1%
36-37°F
<1%
38-39°F
1%
40-41°F
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
2%
46-47°F
4%
48-49°F
9%
50-51°F
23%
52-53°F
22%
54°F or higher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors a high of 54°F or higher in Seattle on March 24 at 46% implied probability, driven primarily by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime maximum near 54°F under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble models converge on this range, reflecting a mild Pacific high-pressure ridge suppressing cooler marine air intrusion typical for late March. Historical data shows Seattle's March 24 average high at 55°F, with recent days trending 2-3°F above normal amid weakening Arctic outflows. Uncertainty lingers from potential overnight cloud cover, but model consensus positions 52-54°F as the leading cluster, influencing traders to overweight warmer outcomes ahead of morning soundings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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