Trader sentiment for Wellington's highest temperature on March 22 clusters tightly around 17-19°C, driven by MetService's latest short-range forecasts indicating a mild late-summer day with partial cloud cover and light northerlies, capping peaks near 18°C amid 15-20 km/h winds. ECMWF and GFS models diverge slightly, with the former favoring 17-18°C via subtle sea-breeze moderation on the coastal site, while GFS hints at 20-22°C if high-pressure ridging strengthens, boosting the 23% odds on 22°C+. Historical March maxima average 19.2°C at Kelburn station, but recent soundings show drier mid-levels favoring the warmer cluster over cooler southerly threats (14-16°C at 16-14.5%). Key watch: 6 PM NZST model refresh for frontal timing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 22 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington em 22 de março?
18°C 26%
17°C 24%
22°C ou mais 23%
19°C 21%
12°C ou menos
12%
13°C
10%
14°C
11%
15°C
15%
16°C
16%
17°C
24%
18°C
26%
19°C
21%
20°C
17%
21°C
17%
22°C ou mais
23%
18°C 26%
17°C 24%
22°C ou mais 23%
19°C 21%
12°C ou menos
12%
13°C
10%
14°C
11%
15°C
15%
16°C
16%
17°C
24%
18°C
26%
19°C
21%
20°C
17%
21°C
17%
22°C ou mais
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Wellington's highest temperature on March 22 clusters tightly around 17-19°C, driven by MetService's latest short-range forecasts indicating a mild late-summer day with partial cloud cover and light northerlies, capping peaks near 18°C amid 15-20 km/h winds. ECMWF and GFS models diverge slightly, with the former favoring 17-18°C via subtle sea-breeze moderation on the coastal site, while GFS hints at 20-22°C if high-pressure ridging strengthens, boosting the 23% odds on 22°C+. Historical March maxima average 19.2°C at Kelburn station, but recent soundings show drier mid-levels favoring the warmer cluster over cooler southerly threats (14-16°C at 16-14.5%). Key watch: 6 PM NZST model refresh for frontal timing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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