Trader consensus tilts narrowly toward 52-53°F (35%) over 50-51°F (33.5%) for Seattle's March 22 high, propelled by NOAA's latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts averaging 51-52°F amid a persistent marine layer moderating Pacific Northwest spring warmth. Differentiating factors include GFS's slight warm bias from ridging aloft versus ECMWF's cooler outlook tied to deeper boundary-layer clouds, with historical March 22 averages near 54°F but recent cool anomalies favoring the lower bins. Key uncertainty stems from diurnal cloud evolution and jet stream wavering, per NWS Seattle guidance; watch afternoon updates for resolution shifts as models converge 24-48 hours out.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seattle em 22 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Seattle em 22 de março?
52-53°F 36%
50-51°F 32%
48-49°F 19%
54-55°F 9%
$12,295 Vol.
$12,295 Vol.
45°F ou menos
1%
46-47°F
3%
48-49°F
19%
50-51°F
32%
52-53°F
36%
54-55°F
9%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F ou mais
<1%
52-53°F 36%
50-51°F 32%
48-49°F 19%
54-55°F 9%
$12,295 Vol.
$12,295 Vol.
45°F ou menos
1%
46-47°F
3%
48-49°F
19%
50-51°F
32%
52-53°F
36%
54-55°F
9%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus tilts narrowly toward 52-53°F (35%) over 50-51°F (33.5%) for Seattle's March 22 high, propelled by NOAA's latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts averaging 51-52°F amid a persistent marine layer moderating Pacific Northwest spring warmth. Differentiating factors include GFS's slight warm bias from ridging aloft versus ECMWF's cooler outlook tied to deeper boundary-layer clouds, with historical March 22 averages near 54°F but recent cool anomalies favoring the lower bins. Key uncertainty stems from diurnal cloud evolution and jet stream wavering, per NWS Seattle guidance; watch afternoon updates for resolution shifts as models converge 24-48 hours out.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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