Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

30%

$191K Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

6

Ends em 9 meses

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

95%

14.2-14.4m sq km

$44.1K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

2

Ends há 1 dia

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

41%

$329K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

33%

$315K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

6

Ends em 9 meses

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

23%

<4m sq km

$28.8K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

6

Ends em 6 meses

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

7%

$11.6K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

11%

$37.8K Vol.

$18.7K Liq.

9

Ends em 12 meses

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

49%

$X

$4M Vol.

$63.4K today

$184K Liq.

176

Ends em mais de 1 ano

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

82%

8+

$2M Vol.

$61.1K Liq.

22

Ends em 3 meses

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

94%

>$1T

$947K Vol.

$121K Liq.

19

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

44%

Morgan Stanley

$1M Vol.

$81.5K Liq.

22

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Human moon landing in 2026?

Human moon landing in 2026?

5%

$2M Vol.

$36.4K Liq.

26

Ends em 9 meses

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

90%

SpaceX

$2M Vol.

$281K Liq.

9

Ends em 9 meses

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

96%

1T+

$3M Vol.

$227K Liq.

44

Ends em mais de 1 ano

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

64%

1.25–1.29ºC

$225K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

100%

150+

$180K Vol.

$22.7K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

45%

2.0T+

$663K Vol.

$103K Liq.

8

Ends em mais de 1 ano

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

28%

14–16

$1M Vol.

$32.5K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

46%

2

$2M Vol.

$128K Liq.

17

Ends em 9 meses

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

99%

4th or lower

$279K Vol.

$20.1K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Clima.

Polymarket currently hosts 141 active markets for Clima that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Natural Disaster in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $20.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Named storm forms before hurricane season?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will SpaceX's public ticker be?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will SpaceX's public ticker be?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 49% chance to $X. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Clima predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.