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Clima previsões e probabilidades

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Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

27%

$340K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

29%

$216K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

6

Ends em 8 meses

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

37%

$327K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

9

Ends em 8 meses

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

13%

$18.9K Vol.

$940 Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

51%

<4m sq km

$34.3K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

6

Ends em 5 meses

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

9%

$79.6K Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

9

Ends em 11 meses

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

53%

Other (incl $SPCX)

$6M Vol.

$157K Liq.

228

Ends em mais de 1 ano

New pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic in 2026?

12%

$261K Vol.

$16.8K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

91%

1T+

$3M Vol.

$105K Liq.

42

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

57%

2

$3M Vol.

$103K Liq.

18

Ends em 8 meses

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

87%

SpaceX

$2M Vol.

$177K Liq.

11

Ends em 8 meses

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

93%

>$1T

$2M Vol.

$59.8K Liq.

19

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Will a hurricane form by May 31?

Will a hurricane form by May 31?

2%

$48.2K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

4

Ends em 24 dias

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

5%

$592K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

26

Ends em 8 meses

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

54%

2.0T+

$885K Vol.

$72.7K Liq.

8

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

98%

↑2k

$8M Vol.

$23.3K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

44%

Morgan Stanley

$2M Vol.

$28.8K Liq.

17

Ends em mais de 1 ano

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

84%

8+

$2M Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

30

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

10%

$12.4K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

60%

$116K Vol.

$188 Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Clima.

Polymarket currently hosts 137 active markets for Clima that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Named storm forms before hurricane season?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $28.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Named storm forms before hurricane season?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑1k. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Clima predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.