Trader sentiment on Denver's March 25 high temperature hinges on the latest NOAA forecast models projecting a peak around 82-87°F under a potent high-pressure ridge amplifying downslope chinook winds, which historically boost Front Range temperatures by 20-30°F through adiabatic warming. The 96°F+ outcome at 25.5% reflects outlier GFS ensemble runs suggesting extreme clear-sky heating and low soil moisture from recent drought, potentially shattering March records near 80°F. Closely bunched 17% odds for 80-89°F stem from ECMWF consensus tempering those extremes with slight midday cloudiness risks, while sub-80°F fades to 8% absent cooling northerlies. Model divergence underscores uncertainty in ridge strength ahead of evening updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on March 25?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 25?
80-81°F 17%
82-83°F 17%
84-85°F 17%
86-87°F 17%
77°F or below
2%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
17%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
12%
96°F or higher
8%
80-81°F 17%
82-83°F 17%
84-85°F 17%
86-87°F 17%
77°F or below
2%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
17%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
12%
96°F or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Denver International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDEN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Denver's March 25 high temperature hinges on the latest NOAA forecast models projecting a peak around 82-87°F under a potent high-pressure ridge amplifying downslope chinook winds, which historically boost Front Range temperatures by 20-30°F through adiabatic warming. The 96°F+ outcome at 25.5% reflects outlier GFS ensemble runs suggesting extreme clear-sky heating and low soil moisture from recent drought, potentially shattering March records near 80°F. Closely bunched 17% odds for 80-89°F stem from ECMWF consensus tempering those extremes with slight midday cloudiness risks, while sub-80°F fades to 8% absent cooling northerlies. Model divergence underscores uncertainty in ridge strength ahead of evening updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions