Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 90-93°F for Dallas's March 25 high temperature, driven by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on 91-92°F under a strengthening upper-level ridge fostering adiabatic warming and sunny skies. Differentiating factors include minor model spread: ECMWF's drier, clearer profile nudges toward 92-93°F (27% implied odds), while GFS variants with subtle cloud intrusions favor 90-91°F (26%); hotter 94-95°F (20.5%) odds hinge on enhanced downslope flow from northerly winds. Observational trends from DFW soundings show boundary-layer mixing amplifying surface highs 2-3°F above climatological March norms of 72°F, with low precipitation risk per satellite moisture analysis keeping extremes below 98°F. Key watch: 12z model updates tomorrow.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on March 25?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 25?
92-93°F 27%
90-91°F 27%
88-89°F 21%
94-95°F 21%
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
21%
90-91°F
27%
92-93°F
27%
94-95°F
21%
96-97°F
6%
98°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 27%
90-91°F 27%
88-89°F 21%
94-95°F 21%
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
21%
90-91°F
27%
92-93°F
27%
94-95°F
21%
96-97°F
6%
98°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 90-93°F for Dallas's March 25 high temperature, driven by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on 91-92°F under a strengthening upper-level ridge fostering adiabatic warming and sunny skies. Differentiating factors include minor model spread: ECMWF's drier, clearer profile nudges toward 92-93°F (27% implied odds), while GFS variants with subtle cloud intrusions favor 90-91°F (26%); hotter 94-95°F (20.5%) odds hinge on enhanced downslope flow from northerly winds. Observational trends from DFW soundings show boundary-layer mixing amplifying surface highs 2-3°F above climatological March norms of 72°F, with low precipitation risk per satellite moisture analysis keeping extremes below 98°F. Key watch: 12z model updates tomorrow.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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