Trader sentiment on Buenos Aires' March 26 high temperature clusters tightly around 26–28°C due to ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting peaks in that range amid a weak cold front's influence, with 27°C edging ahead on SMN's latest guidance showing partial cloud cover tempering insolation. Differentiating factors include southerly winds potentially capping highs at 26°C via sea-breeze moderation (23% implied odds), versus clearer skies and residual warmth pushing to 28–29°C (21–18.5%). Historical March averages hover near 27°C, but diurnal variability and model spread—exacerbated by La Niña's lingering cool bias—keep lower outcomes like 25°C viable at 18%, underscoring forecast uncertainty as traders await 12Z model updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 26?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 26?
27°C 24%
28°C 21%
29°C 19%
25°C 18%
22°C or below
5%
23°C
14%
24°C
17%
25°C
18%
26°C
23%
27°C
24%
28°C
21%
29°C
19%
30°C
13%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
3%
27°C 24%
28°C 21%
29°C 19%
25°C 18%
22°C or below
5%
23°C
14%
24°C
17%
25°C
18%
26°C
23%
27°C
24%
28°C
21%
29°C
19%
30°C
13%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Buenos Aires' March 26 high temperature clusters tightly around 26–28°C due to ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting peaks in that range amid a weak cold front's influence, with 27°C edging ahead on SMN's latest guidance showing partial cloud cover tempering insolation. Differentiating factors include southerly winds potentially capping highs at 26°C via sea-breeze moderation (23% implied odds), versus clearer skies and residual warmth pushing to 28–29°C (21–18.5%). Historical March averages hover near 27°C, but diurnal variability and model spread—exacerbated by La Niña's lingering cool bias—keep lower outcomes like 25°C viable at 18%, underscoring forecast uncertainty as traders await 12Z model updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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