Trader sentiment for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 23 clusters tightly around 21-24°C, propelled by the latest 00Z ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and GEM models averaging 23.5°C amid a mild autumn pattern. The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional pegs the high at 24°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, while ECMWF's cooler bias (23°C) reflects stronger anticipated sea breeze moderation from the Río de la Plata. Differentiating factors include cloud cover timing—delays could push toward 24-25°C via urban heat island effects, versus earlier southerlies dropping to 21-22°C—and model spread from recent cool anomalies, with historical March means at 25°C providing baseline context amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires em 23 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires em 23 de março?
24°C 27%
23°C 24%
21°C 17%
22°C 16%
19°C ou menos
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
17%
22°C
16%
23°C
24%
24°C
27%
25°C
14%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C ou mais
1%
24°C 27%
23°C 24%
21°C 17%
22°C 16%
19°C ou menos
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
17%
22°C
16%
23°C
24%
24°C
27%
25°C
14%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 23 clusters tightly around 21-24°C, propelled by the latest 00Z ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and GEM models averaging 23.5°C amid a mild autumn pattern. The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional pegs the high at 24°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, while ECMWF's cooler bias (23°C) reflects stronger anticipated sea breeze moderation from the Río de la Plata. Differentiating factors include cloud cover timing—delays could push toward 24-25°C via urban heat island effects, versus earlier southerlies dropping to 21-22°C—and model spread from recent cool anomalies, with historical March means at 25°C providing baseline context amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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