Trader consensus clusters tightly around 16–19°C for Milan's highest temperature on March 24, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicating mild conditions under a building high-pressure ridge over the Mediterranean. This setup favors southerly winds advecting warmer air masses, elevating projected highs above the late-March climatological average of 13–15°C observed at Milano Linate Airport. Differentiating factors include model spread from variable cloud cover—potentially capping peaks at 16–17°C if stratus persists—or clearer skies allowing 18–19°C under peak insolation around 2–3 PM local time. Recent 00Z runs slightly boosted warmer outcomes, trimming 22°C+ odds amid low-confidence convective risks, with final resolution hinging on observed maxima from official meteorological stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on March 24?
Highest temperature in Milan on March 24?
19°C 31%
17°C 23%
18°C 23%
16°C 8%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
3%
15°C
17%
16°C
27%
17°C
22%
18°C
25%
19°C
28%
20°C
18%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
14%
19°C 31%
17°C 23%
18°C 23%
16°C 8%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
3%
15°C
17%
16°C
27%
17°C
22%
18°C
25%
19°C
28%
20°C
18%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:27 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 16–19°C for Milan's highest temperature on March 24, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicating mild conditions under a building high-pressure ridge over the Mediterranean. This setup favors southerly winds advecting warmer air masses, elevating projected highs above the late-March climatological average of 13–15°C observed at Milano Linate Airport. Differentiating factors include model spread from variable cloud cover—potentially capping peaks at 16–17°C if stratus persists—or clearer skies allowing 18–19°C under peak insolation around 2–3 PM local time. Recent 00Z runs slightly boosted warmer outcomes, trimming 22°C+ odds amid low-confidence convective risks, with final resolution hinging on observed maxima from official meteorological stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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