Trader sentiment on Milan's highest temperature March 23 clusters tightly around 15-17°C due to the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which project daytime highs of 15-16°C under a mild high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, drawing warmer Atlantic air masses northward. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences: ECMWF leans slightly cooler at 15°C with potential afternoon cloudiness suppressing peaks, while GFS hints at 17°C if clearer skies prevail, as verified by historical March norms (14-17°C average max) and recent soundings showing stable lapse rates. ARPA Lombardia observations confirm yesterday's 14°C high, with low wind shear minimizing convective boosts; upcoming 12Z model runs could shift odds if diurnal heating accelerates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 23 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 23 de março?
16°C 30%
15°C 26%
17°C 11%
14°C 9%
10°C ou menos
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
12%
14°C
18%
15°C
26%
16°C
30%
17°C
20%
18°C
16%
19°C
4%
20°C ou mais
6%
16°C 30%
15°C 26%
17°C 11%
14°C 9%
10°C ou menos
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
12%
14°C
18%
15°C
26%
16°C
30%
17°C
20%
18°C
16%
19°C
4%
20°C ou mais
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Milan's highest temperature March 23 clusters tightly around 15-17°C due to the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which project daytime highs of 15-16°C under a mild high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, drawing warmer Atlantic air masses northward. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences: ECMWF leans slightly cooler at 15°C with potential afternoon cloudiness suppressing peaks, while GFS hints at 17°C if clearer skies prevail, as verified by historical March norms (14-17°C average max) and recent soundings showing stable lapse rates. ARPA Lombardia observations confirm yesterday's 14°C high, with low wind shear minimizing convective boosts; upcoming 12Z model runs could shift odds if diurnal heating accelerates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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