Trader consensus on Ankara's March 24 high temperature clusters tightly around 10-13°C, driven by ensemble weather model outputs from ECMWF and GFS showing peaks of 11-12°C amid a transitional spring pattern with weak Atlantic highs yielding mild advection. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) latest guidance aligns at 12°C maximum, differentiating leaders via diurnally peaked insolation under partly cloudy skies, tempered by northerly breezes capping extremes. Historical March 24 norms average 13°C high with 2°C standard deviation, but recent cold air pooling has shaved 1-2°C off analogs; resolution hinges on Esenboğa Airport observations, with model spread explaining the 31.5% edge for 12°C over rivals. Watch MGM's evening update for shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on March 24?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 24?
12°C 32%
11°C 23%
10°C 22%
13°C 20%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
3%
9°C
8%
10°C
22%
11°C
23%
12°C
32%
13°C
20%
14°C
14%
15°C
13%
16°C
4%
17°C or higher
2%
12°C 32%
11°C 23%
10°C 22%
13°C 20%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
3%
9°C
8%
10°C
22%
11°C
23%
12°C
32%
13°C
20%
14°C
14%
15°C
13%
16°C
4%
17°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Ankara's March 24 high temperature clusters tightly around 10-13°C, driven by ensemble weather model outputs from ECMWF and GFS showing peaks of 11-12°C amid a transitional spring pattern with weak Atlantic highs yielding mild advection. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) latest guidance aligns at 12°C maximum, differentiating leaders via diurnally peaked insolation under partly cloudy skies, tempered by northerly breezes capping extremes. Historical March 24 norms average 13°C high with 2°C standard deviation, but recent cold air pooling has shaved 1-2°C off analogs; resolution hinges on Esenboğa Airport observations, with model spread explaining the 31.5% edge for 12°C over rivals. Watch MGM's evening update for shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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