Taiwan's Central Weather Administration latest forecast models project Taipei's highest temperature on March 24 at 27-28°C, driving trader consensus with 28°C leading at 41% implied probability amid a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering warm southerly flows. Recent observations confirm this trend—March 22 peaked at 27.5°C, exceeding the March historical average high of 23°C, while ensemble predictions from global models like ECMWF and GFS converge on upper-20s peaks under partly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk. Lower odds for 26°C (25.5%) and 27°C (21.5%) reflect slight model spread, but subtropical spring warming and minimal frontal activity position these as frontrunners, with sub-25°C outcomes fading against the warm anomaly.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on March 24?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 24?
28°C 49%
26°C 26%
27°C 21%
25°C 16%
21°C or below
7%
22°C
8%
23°C
13%
24°C
16%
25°C
16%
26°C
26%
27°C
21%
28°C
41%
29°C
14%
30°C
11%
31°C or higher
8%
28°C 49%
26°C 26%
27°C 21%
25°C 16%
21°C or below
7%
22°C
8%
23°C
13%
24°C
16%
25°C
16%
26°C
26%
27°C
21%
28°C
41%
29°C
14%
30°C
11%
31°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwan's Central Weather Administration latest forecast models project Taipei's highest temperature on March 24 at 27-28°C, driving trader consensus with 28°C leading at 41% implied probability amid a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering warm southerly flows. Recent observations confirm this trend—March 22 peaked at 27.5°C, exceeding the March historical average high of 23°C, while ensemble predictions from global models like ECMWF and GFS converge on upper-20s peaks under partly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk. Lower odds for 26°C (25.5%) and 27°C (21.5%) reflect slight model spread, but subtropical spring warming and minimal frontal activity position these as frontrunners, with sub-25°C outcomes fading against the warm anomaly.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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