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GA-09 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon

GA-09 Republican Primary Winner

Andrew Clyde 80%

Sam Couvillon 13%

Gregg Poole 7%

Polymarket
NOVO

Andrew Clyde 80%

Sam Couvillon 13%

Gregg Poole 7%

Polymarket
NOVO

Andrew Clyde

$169 Vol.

83%

Sam Couvillon

$0 Vol.

13%

Gregg Poole

$4,140 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Andrew Clyde holds a dominant trader consensus at 83% implied probability for the GA-09 Republican primary on May 19, driven by his incumbency advantage, Trump endorsement, and consistent conservative voting record in the safely red district. Recent momentum includes his March 27 campaign ad emphasizing district priorities and a March 30 endorsement from Lt. Gov. Burt Jones, bolstering his position post the March 23 district GOP debate with challengers. Former Gainesville Mayor Sam Couvillon (12.5%) and Hall County Commissioner Gregg Poole (7%) position as homegrown alternatives, criticizing Clyde as an outsider, but lack polls or fundraising edges to close the gap amid low challenger viability in historical primaries.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,309
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Andrew Clyde holds a dominant trader consensus at 83% implied probability for the GA-09 Republican primary on May 19, driven by his incumbency advantage, Trump endorsement, and consistent conservative voting record in the safely red district. Recent momentum includes his March 27 campaign ad emphasizing district priorities and a March 30 endorsement from Lt. Gov. Burt Jones, bolstering his position post the March 23 district GOP debate with challengers. Former Gainesville Mayor Sam Couvillon (12.5%) and Hall County Commissioner Gregg Poole (7%) position as homegrown alternatives, criticizing Clyde as an outsider, but lack polls or fundraising edges to close the gap amid low challenger viability in historical primaries.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,309
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"GA-09 Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Andrew Clyde" at 83%, followed by "Sam Couvillon" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"GA-09 Republican Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "GA-09 Republican Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GA-09 Republican Primary Winner" is "Andrew Clyde" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sam Couvillon" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GA-09 Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.