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Política·Primárias

MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Política·Primárias

MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Matt Little 41%

Matt Klein 32%

Kaela Berg 27.3%

Polymarket

$28,146 Vol.

Matt Little 41%

Matt Klein 32%

Kaela Berg 27.3%

Polymarket

$28,146 Vol.

Matt Little

$19,898 Vol.

45%

Matt Klein

$6,332 Vol.

37%

Kaela Berg

$1,916 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District open Democratic primary—vacated by Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid—trader consensus favors former state Sen. Matt Little at 44.5% implied probability, buoyed by his 43% win in the February precinct caucus straw poll among over 3,400 participants. State Sen. Matt Klein trails closely at 36.5%, leveraging legislative experience, while state Rep. Kaela Berg holds 24.7% amid recent New York Times coverage highlighting her flight attendant and union background. The race remains tight absent public polls or fundraising disclosures due post-March 31, with delegates now positioning for the pivotal May 9 DFL CD2 endorsement convention that could consolidate support before the August 11 primary. Shifts may hinge on endorsement outcomes, Q1 finance reports, or party leader backing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$28,146
Data de Término
11 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District open Democratic primary—vacated by Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid—trader consensus favors former state Sen. Matt Little at 44.5% implied probability, buoyed by his 43% win in the February precinct caucus straw poll among over 3,400 participants. State Sen. Matt Klein trails closely at 36.5%, leveraging legislative experience, while state Rep. Kaela Berg holds 24.7% amid recent New York Times coverage highlighting her flight attendant and union background. The race remains tight absent public polls or fundraising disclosures due post-March 31, with delegates now positioning for the pivotal May 9 DFL CD2 endorsement convention that could consolidate support before the August 11 primary. Shifts may hinge on endorsement outcomes, Q1 finance reports, or party leader backing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$28,146
Data de Término
11 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Matt Little" at 45%, followed by "Matt Klein" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $28.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 1, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Matt Little" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Matt Klein" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.