Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária republicana TX-30

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária republicana TX-30

Everett Jackson 80.8%

Sholdon Daniels 18%

Nils Walker 1.9%

Gregor Heise 1.6%

Polymarket

$22,457 Vol.

Everett Jackson 80.8%

Sholdon Daniels 18%

Nils Walker 1.9%

Gregor Heise 1.6%

Polymarket

$22,457 Vol.

Everett Jackson

$2,269 Vol.

81%

Sholdon Daniels

$8,964 Vol.

18%

Nils Walker

$1,113 Vol.

2%

Gregor Heise

$10,111 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Everett Jackson leads trader consensus at 80.5% implied probability to win the TX-30 Republican primary nomination following his 38% first-round victory on March 3 over Sholdon Daniels' 24% in a fragmented, low-turnout field of four candidates, advancing both to the May 26 runoff for the open seat vacated by Jasmine Crockett's unsuccessful Senate bid. Jackson's grassroots strength as a DeSoto businessman and community leader, coupled with Daniels' post-primary cash depletion despite heavier spending, drives the wide margin, while Nils Walker (18%) and Gregor Heise (19%) were eliminated. No public polls exist, but historical runoff patterns favor March leaders absent major endorsements or scandals before the deadline.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$22,457
Data de Término
26 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Everett Jackson leads trader consensus at 80.5% implied probability to win the TX-30 Republican primary nomination following his 38% first-round victory on March 3 over Sholdon Daniels' 24% in a fragmented, low-turnout field of four candidates, advancing both to the May 26 runoff for the open seat vacated by Jasmine Crockett's unsuccessful Senate bid. Jackson's grassroots strength as a DeSoto businessman and community leader, coupled with Daniels' post-primary cash depletion despite heavier spending, drives the wide margin, while Nils Walker (18%) and Gregor Heise (19%) were eliminated. No public polls exist, but historical runoff patterns favor March leaders absent major endorsements or scandals before the deadline.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$22,457
Data de Término
26 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária republicana TX-30" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Everett Jackson" at 81%, followed by "Sholdon Daniels" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária republicana TX-30" has generated $22.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária republicana TX-30," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária republicana TX-30" is "Everett Jackson" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sholdon Daniels" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária republicana TX-30" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.