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Vencedor da primária republicana do TX-19

icon for Vencedor da primária republicana do TX-19

Vencedor da primária republicana do TX-19

Tom Sell 98.8%

Abraham Enriquez <1%

Matthew Smith <1%

Ryan Zink <1%

Polymarket

$72,806 Vol.

Tom Sell 98.8%

Abraham Enriquez <1%

Matthew Smith <1%

Ryan Zink <1%

Polymarket

$72,806 Vol.

Tom Sell

$47,338 Vol.

99%

Abraham Enriquez

$11,040 Vol.

1%

Matthew Smith

$3,285 Vol.

<1%

Ryan Zink

$1,932 Vol.

<1%

Jason Corley

$1,866 Vol.

<1%

Donald May

$3,931 Vol.

<1%

James Barbee

$3,414 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tom Sell commands overwhelming trader consensus in the Texas 19th Congressional District Republican primary runoff due to his dominant 40.4% plurality in the March 3 primary—more than double Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%—coupled with superior fundraising ($1.76 million raised, $692,000 cash on hand versus Enriquez's $530,000 and $151,000) and endorsements from House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, agricultural organizations, and most dropped primary rivals. Recent debates highlighted Sell's local West Texas farming ties against Enriquez's Trump-aligned national focus, with early voting for the May 26 contest starting May 18. Historical patterns in low-turnout Texas runoffs heavily favor first-round leaders, though a late Trump endorsement for Enriquez or unforeseen scandal could narrow the gap.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$72,806
Data de Término
26 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tom Sell commands overwhelming trader consensus in the Texas 19th Congressional District Republican primary runoff due to his dominant 40.4% plurality in the March 3 primary—more than double Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%—coupled with superior fundraising ($1.76 million raised, $692,000 cash on hand versus Enriquez's $530,000 and $151,000) and endorsements from House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, agricultural organizations, and most dropped primary rivals. Recent debates highlighted Sell's local West Texas farming ties against Enriquez's Trump-aligned national focus, with early voting for the May 26 contest starting May 18. Historical patterns in low-turnout Texas runoffs heavily favor first-round leaders, though a late Trump endorsement for Enriquez or unforeseen scandal could narrow the gap.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$72,806
Data de Término
26 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária republicana do TX-19" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Sell" at 99%, followed by "Abraham Enriquez" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária republicana do TX-19" has generated $72.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária republicana do TX-19," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária republicana do TX-19" is "Tom Sell" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Abraham Enriquez" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária republicana do TX-19" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.