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Política·Primárias

CO-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

icon for CO-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas
Política·Primárias

CO-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Manny Rutinel 75%

Shannon Bird 19%

Amie Baca-Oehlert 1.5%

Yadira Caraveo <1%

Polymarket

$23,485 Vol.

Manny Rutinel 75%

Shannon Bird 19%

Amie Baca-Oehlert 1.5%

Yadira Caraveo <1%

Polymarket

$23,485 Vol.

Manny Rutinel

$13,899 Vol.

75%

Shannon Bird

$2,867 Vol.

19%

Amie Baca-Oehlert

$1,847 Vol.

1%

Yadira Caraveo

$1,040 Vol.

1%

Dave Young

$1,742 Vol.

<1%

John Szemler

$2,090 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Manny Rutinel holds a commanding position in the Colorado 8th District Democratic primary, scheduled for June 30, as the field has narrowed sharply with Evan Munsing's recent withdrawal and Yadira Caraveo's earlier exit, leaving a two-candidate contest against former state Rep. Shannon Bird. Rutinel's edge stems from his status as a sitting state legislator, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $3 million compared to Bird's roughly $1.7 million, and stronger donor support in this competitive swing district. A late-May candidate forum in Greeley highlighted broad policy alignment on issues such as healthcare, immigration, and energy, with limited differentiation that has not altered the race dynamics. Trader consensus assigns Rutinel the leading probability, reflecting these structural and financial factors ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$23,485
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Manny Rutinel holds a commanding position in the Colorado 8th District Democratic primary, scheduled for June 30, as the field has narrowed sharply with Evan Munsing's recent withdrawal and Yadira Caraveo's earlier exit, leaving a two-candidate contest against former state Rep. Shannon Bird. Rutinel's edge stems from his status as a sitting state legislator, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $3 million compared to Bird's roughly $1.7 million, and stronger donor support in this competitive swing district. A late-May candidate forum in Greeley highlighted broad policy alignment on issues such as healthcare, immigration, and energy, with limited differentiation that has not altered the race dynamics. Trader consensus assigns Rutinel the leading probability, reflecting these structural and financial factors ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$23,485
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"CO-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Manny Rutinel" at 75%, followed by "Shannon Bird" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "CO-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" has generated $23.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "CO-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CO-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "Manny Rutinel" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Shannon Bird" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CO-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.