State Rep. Manny Rutinel holds overwhelming trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, driven by his clearance of the party's pre-primary assembly threshold in Pueblo on March 28—securing ballot placement without petitioning and signaling robust delegate support—alongside a commanding fundraising edge of over $2.5 million raised by late 2025. Former state Rep. Shannon Bird trails at 7%, having qualified via petition amid scrutiny over her votes against certain Democratic immigration bills, despite endorsements like Majority Leader Monica Duran's. Dropped challengers Yadira Caraveo and Amie Baca-Oehlert linger at low odds amid potential write-ins, while the crowded field has narrowed to a perceived two-way race in this toss-up battleground district.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoManny Rutinel 89%
Shannon Bird 7%
Amie Baca-Oehlert 3.1%
Yadira Caraveo 1.8%
$11,833 Vol.
$11,833 Vol.
Manny Rutinel
89%
Shannon Bird
7%
Amie Baca-Oehlert
3%
Yadira Caraveo
2%
Dave Young
<1%
John Szemler
<1%
Manny Rutinel 89%
Shannon Bird 7%
Amie Baca-Oehlert 3.1%
Yadira Caraveo 1.8%
$11,833 Vol.
$11,833 Vol.
Manny Rutinel
89%
Shannon Bird
7%
Amie Baca-Oehlert
3%
Yadira Caraveo
2%
Dave Young
<1%
John Szemler
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Rep. Manny Rutinel holds overwhelming trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, driven by his clearance of the party's pre-primary assembly threshold in Pueblo on March 28—securing ballot placement without petitioning and signaling robust delegate support—alongside a commanding fundraising edge of over $2.5 million raised by late 2025. Former state Rep. Shannon Bird trails at 7%, having qualified via petition amid scrutiny over her votes against certain Democratic immigration bills, despite endorsements like Majority Leader Monica Duran's. Dropped challengers Yadira Caraveo and Amie Baca-Oehlert linger at low odds amid potential write-ins, while the crowded field has narrowed to a perceived two-way race in this toss-up battleground district.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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