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SPAC predictions & odds

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SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

62%

2.0T+

$919K Vol.

$80.7K Liq.

8

Ends in over 1 year

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

33%

2.0T-2.5T

$2M Vol.

$55.3K Liq.

8

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

53%

Other (incl $SPCX)

$6M Vol.

$135K Liq.

233

Ends in over 1 year

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

96%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$145K Liq.

39

Ends in 8 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

92%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$26.8K Liq.

44

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

93%

>$1T

$2M Vol.

$51.0K Liq.

19

Ends in over 1 year

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

60%

<5

$448K Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

94%

1T+

$3M Vol.

$67.2K Liq.

43

Ends in over 1 year

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?

77%

$36.3K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

8

Ends in 8 months

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

69%

June

$334K Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

3%

$200K Vol.

$24.4K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 3 - May 9)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 3 - May 9)

96%

0

$4.2K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

35%

140-159

$302K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

How many SpaceX launches in May?

How many SpaceX launches in May?

44%

12

$907 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Which exchange will SpaceX list on?

Which exchange will SpaceX list on?

90%

NASDAQ

$95.1K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

46%

Morgan Stanley

$2M Vol.

$32.0K Liq.

17

Ends in over 1 year

How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 10 - May 16)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 10 - May 16)

53%

0

$59 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

40%

50-60B

$138K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

5

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

56%

1.75-2.00T

$132K Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

1

Trump goes to space in 2026?

Trump goes to space in 2026?

2%

$3.6K Vol.

$35.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like SPAC.

Polymarket currently hosts 129 active markets for SPAC that lets you track or trade on predictions like “SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $20.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will SpaceX's public ticker be?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will SpaceX's public ticker be?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 53% chance to Other (incl $SPCX). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on SPAC predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.