SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with a fixed $135 share price targeting a record $75 billion raise at roughly $1.77 trillion valuation and Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX, underpins the market's 97.3% implied probability on a June 12 debut. Recent filings, roadshow momentum, and broker deadlines shifting to June 10 have reinforced trader consensus around this date, as the process nears final pricing likely on June 11. While strong positioning reflects skin-in-the-game aggregation of verifiable developments, scenarios such as last-minute regulatory hurdles or unexpected market volatility could still introduce modest slippage, though the compressed timeline leaves limited room for material shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJune 12 97.2%
June 17 1.2%
June 15 1.0%
June 26 <1%
$136,669 Vol.
$136,669 Vol.
Jun 29, 2026
June 10
<1%
June 11
<1%
June 12
97%
June 15
1%
June 16
<1%
June 17
1%
June 18
1%
June 22
1%
June 23
<1%
June 24
1%
June 25
<1%
June 26
1%
June 29
<1%
June 30 or later
1%
June 12 97.2%
June 17 1.2%
June 15 1.0%
June 26 <1%
$136,669 Vol.
$136,669 Vol.
Jun 29, 2026
June 10
$2,633 Vol.
<1%
June 11
$4,020 Vol.
<1%
June 12
$77,619 Vol.
97%
June 15
$5,672 Vol.
1%
June 16
$1,776 Vol.
<1%
June 17
$2,270 Vol.
1%
June 18
$2,016 Vol.
1%
June 22
$2,572 Vol.
1%
June 23
$1,060 Vol.
<1%
June 24
$1,615 Vol.
1%
June 25
$1,655 Vol.
<1%
June 26
$1,564 Vol.
1%
June 29
$1,370 Vol.
<1%
June 30 or later
$14,930 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that SpaceX launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO).
For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with a fixed $135 share price targeting a record $75 billion raise at roughly $1.77 trillion valuation and Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX, underpins the market's 97.3% implied probability on a June 12 debut. Recent filings, roadshow momentum, and broker deadlines shifting to June 10 have reinforced trader consensus around this date, as the process nears final pricing likely on June 11. While strong positioning reflects skin-in-the-game aggregation of verifiable developments, scenarios such as last-minute regulatory hurdles or unexpected market volatility could still introduce modest slippage, though the compressed timeline leaves limited room for material shifts.
This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that SpaceX launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO).
For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Volume
$136,669End Date
Jun 29, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that SpaceX launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO).
For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with a fixed $135 share price targeting a record $75 billion raise at roughly $1.77 trillion valuation and Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX, underpins the market's 97.3% implied probability on a June 12 debut. Recent filings, roadshow momentum, and broker deadlines shifting to June 10 have reinforced trader consensus around this date, as the process nears final pricing likely on June 11. While strong positioning reflects skin-in-the-game aggregation of verifiable developments, scenarios such as last-minute regulatory hurdles or unexpected market volatility could still introduce modest slippage, though the compressed timeline leaves limited room for material shifts.
This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that SpaceX launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO).
For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$136,669End Date
Jun 29, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with a fixed $135 share price targeting a record $75 billion raise at roughly $1.77 trillion valuation and Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX, underpins the market's 97.3% implied probability on a June 12 debut. Recent filings, roadshow momentum, and broker deadlines shifting to June 10 have reinforced trader consensus around this date, as the process nears final pricing likely on June 11. While strong positioning reflects skin-in-the-game aggregation of verifiable developments, scenarios such as last-minute regulatory hurdles or unexpected market volatility could still introduce modest slippage, though the compressed timeline leaves limited room for material shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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