US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?

US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?

2%

$16.2K Vol.

$13.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 days

Ukraine hits Moscow by...?

Ukraine hits Moscow by...?

19%

April 30

$137K Vol.

$26.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

India strike on Pakistan by...?

India strike on Pakistan by...?

29%

December 31, 2026

$915K Vol.

$28.6K Liq.

59

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

20%

Isfahan nuclear facility

$357K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

58

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

80%

April 1

$19.9K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

98%

March 27

$278K Vol.

$150K today

$50.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 days

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

<1%

$311K Vol.

$23.0K Liq.

27

Ends in 3 days

Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by...?

Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by...?

60%

March 31

$32.8K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

10

Ends in 18 days

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?

40%

$8.1K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

16%

April 30

$16.9K Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Israel strike on Damascus by...?

Israel strike on Damascus by...?

7%

March 31, 2026

$158K Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

32

Ends in 3 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

45%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

107

Ends in 3 months

Russian strike on Poland by...?

Russian strike on Poland by...?

5%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

244

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

22%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$124K Liq.

31

Ends in 9 months

Iran military action against Israel on...?

Iran military action against Israel on...?

79%

April 5

$832 Vol.

$29.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

23%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$20.4K Liq.

59

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

49%

Ras Laffan Industrial City

$43.6K Vol.

$123K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Russian strike on a NATO member by...?

Russian strike on a NATO member by...?

2%

March 31

$2M Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

21

Ends in 3 days

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

61%

April 1

$44 Vol.

$16.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Thailand strikes Cambodia by...?

Thailand strikes Cambodia by...?

23%

June 30, 2026

$60.2K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Shoot Down.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Shoot Down that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $11.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Another US strike on Venezuela by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Another US strike on Venezuela by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 23% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Shoot Down predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.