How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

33%

4-6

$40.0K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

1

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

42%

2

$3.5K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

Texas Senate Election Matchup

Texas Senate Election Matchup

64%

Talarico & Paxton

$647K Vol.

$89.4K Liq.

3

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

70%

0

$3.7K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

63%

Ken Paxton

$15M Vol.

$286K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

91%

Byron Donalds

$1M Vol.

$172K Liq.

42

Ends in 5 months

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

65%

Thomas Massie

$157K Vol.

$50.0K Liq.

29

Ends in about 1 month

Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner

Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner

49%

Victor Marx

$78.3K Vol.

$65.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner

Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner

48%

Bert Mizusawa

$2M Vol.

$84.5K Liq.

6

Ends in 2 months

South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner

South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner

83%

Lindsey Graham

$53.2K Vol.

$55.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Georgia Governor Republican Primary Winner

Georgia Governor Republican Primary Winner

59%

Rick Jackson

$367K Vol.

$93.6K Liq.

10

Ends in about 1 month

Ohio Governor Republican Primary Winner

Ohio Governor Republican Primary Winner

98%

Vivek Ramaswamy

$975K Vol.

$62.7K Liq.

11

Ends in about 1 month

New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner

New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner

52%

Richard Tabor

$407K Vol.

$90.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner

Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner

54%

Lisa Demuth

$299K Vol.

$93.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 4 months

Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner

Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner

55%

Dan Cox

$539K Vol.

$85.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner

Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner

45%

Perry Johnson

$21.1K Vol.

$64.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

48%

Genter Drummond

$247K Vol.

$59.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Minnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner

Minnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner

75%

Michele Tafoya

$61.9K Vol.

$63.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner

New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner

60%

Greg Hull

$792K Vol.

$102K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Colorado Republican Senate Primary Winner

Colorado Republican Senate Primary Winner

49%

Mark Baisley

$10.7K Vol.

$42.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Republican Primaries.

Polymarket currently hosts 187 active markets for Republican Primaries that lets you track or trade on predictions like “How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary? ”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $23.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 63% chance to Ken Paxton. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Republican Primaries predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.