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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Novo México

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Novo México

Greg Hull 61%

Duke Rodriguez 36%

Steve Lanier 1.5%

Brian Cillessen 1.3%

Polymarket

$791,865 Vol.

Greg Hull 61%

Duke Rodriguez 36%

Steve Lanier 1.5%

Brian Cillessen 1.3%

Polymarket

$791,865 Vol.

Greg Hull

$119,192 Vol.

61%

Duke Rodriguez

$7,871 Vol.

36%

Steve Lanier

$642,742 Vol.

2%

Brian Cillessen

$2,403 Vol.

1%

Belinda Robertson

$4,615 Vol.

1%

Susana Martinez

$4,285 Vol.

1%

Judith Nakamura

$5,926 Vol.

<1%

John Sanchez

$2,232 Vol.

<1%

Mark Murphy

$2,599 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rio Rancho Mayor Greg Hull commands 60.5% trader consensus in the New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary market ahead of the June 2 contest, driven by his overwhelming victory at the state GOP pre-primary convention on March 8, where he secured 57% of delegate votes to automatically qualify for the ballot. Cannabis entrepreneur Duke Rodriguez follows at 35.5%, bolstered by the New Mexico Supreme Court's unanimous ruling three days ago affirming his ballot access despite residency challenges from opponents. Lower-tier candidates like Steve Lanier reflect their scant 7% convention support, with no public polls yet available to shift sentiment; upcoming early voting and campaign momentum could influence the closely watched open-seat race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$791,865
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rio Rancho Mayor Greg Hull commands 60.5% trader consensus in the New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary market ahead of the June 2 contest, driven by his overwhelming victory at the state GOP pre-primary convention on March 8, where he secured 57% of delegate votes to automatically qualify for the ballot. Cannabis entrepreneur Duke Rodriguez follows at 35.5%, bolstered by the New Mexico Supreme Court's unanimous ruling three days ago affirming his ballot access despite residency challenges from opponents. Lower-tier candidates like Steve Lanier reflect their scant 7% convention support, with no public polls yet available to shift sentiment; upcoming early voting and campaign momentum could influence the closely watched open-seat race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$791,865
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Novo México" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Greg Hull" at 61%, followed by "Duke Rodriguez" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Novo México" has generated $791.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Novo México," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Novo México" is "Greg Hull" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Duke Rodriguez" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Novo México" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.