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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Maine

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Maine

Robert Charles 52%

Jonathan Bush 29.3%

Ben Midgely 18%

Ken Capron 2.5%

Polymarket

$12,201 Vol.

Robert Charles 52%

Jonathan Bush 29.3%

Ben Midgely 18%

Ken Capron 2.5%

Polymarket

$12,201 Vol.

Robert Charles

$3,096 Vol.

52%

Jonathan Bush

$4,011 Vol.

29%

Ben Midgely

$586 Vol.

18%

Ken Capron

$521 Vol.

2%

David Jones

$1,223 Vol.

2%

Owen McCarthy

$1,233 Vol.

1%

Robert Wessels

$826 Vol.

1%

James Libby

$705 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Robert Charles leads trader consensus at 52% implied probability in the Maine Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his double-digit advantages in recent UNH (28%) and Pan Atlantic (26%) surveys from February and early March, bolstered by former House Speaker Newt Gingrich's March 24 endorsement praising his MAGA-style focus on crime and taxes. Jonathan Bush holds 29% on strong first-quarter fundraising exceeding $1.3 million and Bush family name recognition, despite business scrutiny. Ben Midgley at 17% shows post-debate momentum in an informal Maine Wire subscriber poll, appealing as a non-politician businessman amid high undecideds in the eight-candidate field. The June 9 ranked-choice primary leaves room for shifts via voter preferences.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$12,201
Data de Término
9 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 10, 2025, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Robert Charles leads trader consensus at 52% implied probability in the Maine Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his double-digit advantages in recent UNH (28%) and Pan Atlantic (26%) surveys from February and early March, bolstered by former House Speaker Newt Gingrich's March 24 endorsement praising his MAGA-style focus on crime and taxes. Jonathan Bush holds 29% on strong first-quarter fundraising exceeding $1.3 million and Bush family name recognition, despite business scrutiny. Ben Midgley at 17% shows post-debate momentum in an informal Maine Wire subscriber poll, appealing as a non-politician businessman amid high undecideds in the eight-candidate field. The June 9 ranked-choice primary leaves room for shifts via voter preferences.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$12,201
Data de Término
9 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 10, 2025, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Maine" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Robert Charles" at 52%, followed by "Jonathan Bush" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Maine" has generated $12.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Maine," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Maine" is "Robert Charles" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jonathan Bush" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Maine" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.