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Peace predictions & odds

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Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

14%

$427K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

18

Ends in 8 months

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

18%

December 31

$425K Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

13%

$11.6K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

71%

December 31

$74M Vol.

$3M today

$605K Liq.

1,528

Ends in 8 months

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

8%

Yulia Navalnaya

$16M Vol.

$73.2K today

$1M Liq.

166

Ends in 5 months

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

14%

June 30

$510K Vol.

$140K Liq.

11

Ends in 25 days

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

4%

$106K Vol.

$23.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

4%

May 31

$121K Vol.

$28.8K Liq.

22

Ends in 25 days

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

24%

$225K Vol.

$32.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

18%

$14.0K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

5%

$4M Vol.

$320K today

$425K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

9%

$8M Vol.

$145K today

$314K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

56%

$164K Vol.

$130K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?

45%

$56.5K Vol.

$88.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

16%

$91.5K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

15

Ends in 8 months

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

19%

$86.9K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

4%

$30.8K Vol.

$23.0K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

8%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$19.5K Liq.

79

Ends in about 2 months

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

70%

June 30

$13M Vol.

$850K today

$290K Liq.

304

Ends in about 2 months

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

11%

$249K Vol.

$50.6K today

$81.8K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Peace.

Polymarket currently hosts 148 active markets for Peace that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $118.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 71% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Peace predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.