Peace predictions & odds

Geopolitics·Iran

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

$6M Vol.

$926K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

92%

No Meeting by September 30

$6M Vol.

$926K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Geopolitics·Peace

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

$617K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$617K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

World·Awards

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

$24M Vol.

$2M Liq.

204

Ends in about 1 month

Yulia Navalnaya

$24M Vol.

$2M Liq.

204

Ends in about 1 month

Geopolitics·Iran

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

$11M Vol.

$312K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

56%

March 31, 2027

$11M Vol.

$312K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Geopolitics·Sudan

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

$119K Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

12%

December 31, 2026

$119K Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Putin

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

$502K Vol.

$77.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

58%

December 31

$502K Vol.

$77.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

$390K Vol.

$280K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

32%

Steve Witkoff

$390K Vol.

$280K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

$2M Vol.

$97.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

13%

$2M Vol.

$97.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

$3M Vol.

$59.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

15%

$3M Vol.

$59.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Putin

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

$2M Vol.

$109K today

$337K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

13%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$109K today

$337K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

$8.9K Vol.

$24.0K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

$8.9K Vol.

$24.0K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Geopolitics·Putin

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

$66.7K Vol.

$21.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$66.7K Vol.

$21.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?

$64.6K Vol.

$27.6K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

$64.6K Vol.

$27.6K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Geopolitics·Putin

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

$527K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$527K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

$26M Vol.

$304K today

$713K Liq.

549

Ends in 4 months

59%

December 31

$26M Vol.

$304K today

$713K Liq.

549

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Israel

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

$238K Vol.

$31.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$238K Vol.

$31.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Putin

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

$7M Vol.

$172K today

$348K Liq.

189

Ends in 10 months

55%

June 30, 2027

$7M Vol.

$172K today

$348K Liq.

189

Ends in 10 months

Geopolitics·Ceasefire

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

$510K Vol.

$145K today

$158K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

77%

September 30

$510K Vol.

$145K today

$158K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Geopolitics·Iran

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

$17M Vol.

$527K Liq.

163

Ends in 4 months

12%

December 31

$17M Vol.

$527K Liq.

163

Ends in 4 months

Elections·Global Elections

2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner

$79.5K Vol.

$271K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

77%

BFP

$79.5K Vol.

$271K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Peace.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Peace that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $100.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “ Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 59% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Peace predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Peace shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Peace prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Peace prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Peace predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Peace prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Peace markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Peace prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Peace predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Peace odds?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Peace prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Peace markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Peace prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Peace predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Peace odds?

Can I track Peace predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Peace markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Peace predictions & odds