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2024年選舉 預測與賠率

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Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

38%

$3M 交易量

$87.7K Liq.

18

Ends 5 個月內

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

19%

$21.6K 交易量

$1.3K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

76%

PL

$7.0K 交易量

$184K Liq.

1

Ends 4 個月內

California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

61%

Xavier Becerra

$26M 交易量

$414K today

$3M Liq.

67

Ends 5 個月內

California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

66%

Fiona Ma

$11.7K 交易量

$15.6K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

99%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$12.4K 交易量

$19.0K Liq.

7

Ends 11 個月內

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

63%

No election before 2027

$18.5K 交易量

$9.2K Liq.

7

Ends 大約 2 個月前

Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

72%

Željka Cvijanović

$18.0K 交易量

$25.5K Liq.

1

Ends 4 個月內

Next Croat President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Next Croat President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

52%

Slaven Kovačević

$5.7K 交易量

$10.5K Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

49%

Denis Bećirović

$14.0K 交易量

$6.5K Liq.

1

Ends 4 個月內

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

81%

Chong Won-oh

$44M 交易量

$167K today

$6M Liq.

212

Ends 7 天內

2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner

77%

Chun Jae-soo

$1M 交易量

$87.6K today

$379K Liq.

12

Ends 7 天內

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

93%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$71.8K 交易量

$239K Liq.

20

Ends 11 個月內

Spain snap election called in 2026?

Spain snap election called in 2026?

41%

$25.1K 交易量

$6.9K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory

38%

Chong Won-oh 3-6%

$823 交易量

$76.5K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate

2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate

58%

Jordan Bardella

$4.4K 交易量

$8.0K Liq.

4

Ends 11 個月內

# of seats won by PT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?

# of seats won by PT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?

<1%

110+

$383K 交易量

$90.6K Liq.

Ends 4 個月前

Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

48%

$33.9K 交易量

$2.4K Liq.

3

Ends 7 個月內

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

41%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$88M 交易量

$1M today

$8M Liq.

7,644

Ends 4 個月內

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

23%

Jordan Bardella

$82M 交易量

$1M today

$6M Liq.

518

Ends 11 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 324 active markets for 2024年選舉 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $244.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Brazil Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Brazil Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 41% chance to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 2024年選舉 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.