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Portugal Presidential Election

$78,247,144 Vol.

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 70%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 16%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 7.0%

André Ventura (CH) 5.5%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$78,247,144
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC
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$78,247,144 Vol.

Market icon

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 70%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 16%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 7.0%

André Ventura (CH) 5.5%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$742,244 Vol.

70%

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Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$360,673 Vol.

16%

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João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$460,754 Vol.

7%

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André Ventura (CH)

$1,097,511 Vol.

5%

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António José Seguro (IND)

$340,775 Vol.

4%

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Paulo Portas (CDS)

$739,514 Vol.

<1%

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Catarina Martins (BE)

$250,217 Vol.

<1%

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Manuela Magno (IND)

$3,262,867 Vol.

<1%

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Raul Perestrello (IND)

$13,859,190 Vol.

<1%

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Jorge Pinto

$4,809,608 Vol.

<1%

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Rui Moreira (IND)

$3,220,720 Vol.

<1%

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Tim Vieira (IND)

$181,172 Vol.

<1%

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Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$4,170,653 Vol.

<1%

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André Pestana (IND)

$1,680,482 Vol.

<1%

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Orlando Cruz (IND)

$534,934 Vol.

<1%

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Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$7,820,073 Vol.

<1%

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Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$8,509,292 Vol.

<1%

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Vitorino Silva (IND)

$3,620,239 Vol.

<1%

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Ângela Maryah (IND)

$4,473,935 Vol.

<1%

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António Filipe (PCP)

$6,365,660 Vol.

<1%

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José Cardoso (PLS)

$8,054,632 Vol.

<1%

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Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$3,698,322 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$78,247,144
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.