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What will Tucker Carlson say at AmericaFest on December 18?

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What will Tucker Carlson say at AmericaFest on December 18?

$15,158 Vol.

Dec 18, 2025
Polymarket

$15,158 Vol.

Polymarket

Trump 10+ times

$695 Vol.

Yes

Border / Immigration 5+ times

$626 Vol.

No

Democrat / Democratic 5+ times

$468 Vol.

No

War 5+ times

$730 Vol.

Yes

America First

$683 Vol.

Yes

Censor / Censorship

$547 Vol.

No

Christian

$412 Vol.

Yes

Credit / Buy Now Pay Later

$457 Vol.

No

Drug

$2,727 Vol.

Yes

Economy

$1,246 Vol.

No

Foreign Policy

$449 Vol.

Yes

Free Speech

$535 Vol.

Yes

House / Housing

$387 Vol.

Yes

Israel

$266 Vol.

Yes

JD / Vance

$457 Vol.

Yes

Loan / Debt

$386 Vol.

No

Racist / Racism

$681 Vol.

Yes

Regime Change

$2,901 Vol.

Yes

Crypto / Bitcoin

$285 Vol.

No

Ted Cruz

$220 Vol.

No

AmericaFest is scheduled to take place from December 18 - December 21, 2025, and Tucker Carlson is scheduled to speak on December 18 at 7:15PM ET (https://tpusa.com/agenda/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson says the listed term during the scheduled event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If prerecorded clips are aired where Tucker Carlson is speaking, those clips will NOT count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

This market is explicitly about Tucker Carlson's scheduled appearance at the TPUSA AmericaFest event on December 18, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such event is aired by December 18, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the event.
Volume
$15,158
End Date
Dec 18, 2025
Market Opened
Dec 12, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
AmericaFest is scheduled to take place from December 18 - December 21, 2025, and Tucker Carlson is scheduled to speak on December 18 at 7:15PM ET (https://tpusa.com/agenda/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson says the listed term during the scheduled event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If prerecorded clips are aired where Tucker Carlson is speaking, those clips will NOT count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about Tucker Carlson's scheduled appearance at the TPUSA AmericaFest event on December 18, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If no such event is aired by December 18, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the event.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Tucker Carlson say at AmericaFest on December 18?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Trump 10+ times" at 100%, followed by "War 5+ times" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Tucker Carlson say at AmericaFest on December 18?" has generated $15.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Tucker Carlson say at AmericaFest on December 18?," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Tucker Carlson say at AmericaFest on December 18?" is "Trump 10+ times" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "War 5+ times" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Tucker Carlson say at AmericaFest on December 18?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.