Traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities of 48.5% to no change and 47.5% to an increase in Colombia’s policy rate at the Banco de la República’s June 30 meeting, reflecting the April 30 unanimous hold at 11.25% that surprised markets expecting a 50–75 basis point hike. Persistent inflation above the 3% target—April headline CPI at 5.68% and core near 5.87%, with recent prints in the 5.1–5.3% range—combined with resilient domestic demand and low unemployment has kept hawkish pressures intact, while the January and March 100 basis point hikes underscore the board’s tightening path. Fiscal and political tensions add uncertainty, leaving outcomes highly data-dependent ahead of the next inflation release and growth indicators.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCentral Bank of Colombia Decision in June?
Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?
No change 55%
Increase 50%
Decrease 1.5%
NOVO
NOVO
30 jun 2026
Decrease
1%
No change
48%
Increase
48%
No change 55%
Increase 50%
Decrease 1.5%
NOVO
NOVO
30 jun 2026
Decrease
$1,531 Vol.
1%
No change
$1,408 Vol.
48%
Increase
$1,078 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities of 48.5% to no change and 47.5% to an increase in Colombia’s policy rate at the Banco de la República’s June 30 meeting, reflecting the April 30 unanimous hold at 11.25% that surprised markets expecting a 50–75 basis point hike. Persistent inflation above the 3% target—April headline CPI at 5.68% and core near 5.87%, with recent prints in the 5.1–5.3% range—combined with resilient domestic demand and low unemployment has kept hawkish pressures intact, while the January and March 100 basis point hikes underscore the board’s tightening path. Fiscal and political tensions add uncertainty, leaving outcomes highly data-dependent ahead of the next inflation release and growth indicators.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Volume
$4,017Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities of 48.5% to no change and 47.5% to an increase in Colombia’s policy rate at the Banco de la República’s June 30 meeting, reflecting the April 30 unanimous hold at 11.25% that surprised markets expecting a 50–75 basis point hike. Persistent inflation above the 3% target—April headline CPI at 5.68% and core near 5.87%, with recent prints in the 5.1–5.3% range—combined with resilient domestic demand and low unemployment has kept hawkish pressures intact, while the January and March 100 basis point hikes underscore the board’s tightening path. Fiscal and political tensions add uncertainty, leaving outcomes highly data-dependent ahead of the next inflation release and growth indicators.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$4,017Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities of 48.5% to no change and 47.5% to an increase in Colombia’s policy rate at the Banco de la República’s June 30 meeting, reflecting the April 30 unanimous hold at 11.25% that surprised markets expecting a 50–75 basis point hike. Persistent inflation above the 3% target—April headline CPI at 5.68% and core near 5.87%, with recent prints in the 5.1–5.3% range—combined with resilient domestic demand and low unemployment has kept hawkish pressures intact, while the January and March 100 basis point hikes underscore the board’s tightening path. Fiscal and political tensions add uncertainty, leaving outcomes highly data-dependent ahead of the next inflation release and growth indicators.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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