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What will Steve Bannon say at AmericaFest on December 19?

Market icon

What will Steve Bannon say at AmericaFest on December 19?

$6,311 Vol.

Dec 19, 2025
Polymarket

$6,311 Vol.

Polymarket

Trump 10+ times

$701 Vol.

Yes

Biden 5+ times

$515 Vol.

No

China / Chinese / CCP 3+ times

$384 Vol.

No

AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times

$259 Vol.

No

Populist / Populism 2+ times

$375 Vol.

Yes

America First

$645 Vol.

No

Deep State / Administrative State

$336 Vol.

No

Elon / Musk

$268 Vol.

No

EU / Europe / European

$94 Vol.

No

Illegal Immigrant / Illegal Alien

$144 Vol.

No

Israel

$500 Vol.

Yes

JD / Vance

$178 Vol.

No

Luigi / Mangione

$210 Vol.

No

Mamdani / New York

$144 Vol.

No

Marxist / Marxism

$393 Vol.

No

Prison

$448 Vol.

Yes

Third World War / World War III

$142 Vol.

No

Ukraine

$313 Vol.

No

Working Class / Middle Class

$261 Vol.

No

AmericaFest is scheduled to take place from December 18 - December 21, 2025, and Steve Bannon is scheduled to speak on December 19 at 5:59PM ET (https://tpusa.com/agenda/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Bannon says the listed term during the scheduled event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If prerecorded clips are aired where Steve Bannon is speaking, those clips will NOT count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

If prerecorded clips are aired where Steve Bannon is speaking, those clips will NOT count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Steve Bannon's scheduled appearance at the TPUSA AmericaFest event on December 19, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such event is aired by December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the event.
Volume
$6,311
End Date
Dec 19, 2025
Market Opened
Dec 12, 2025, 4:01 PM ET
AmericaFest is scheduled to take place from December 18 - December 21, 2025, and Steve Bannon is scheduled to speak on December 19 at 5:59PM ET (https://tpusa.com/agenda/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Bannon says the listed term during the scheduled event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If prerecorded clips are aired where Steve Bannon is speaking, those clips will NOT count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If prerecorded clips are aired where Steve Bannon is speaking, those clips will NOT count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Steve Bannon's scheduled appearance at the TPUSA AmericaFest event on December 19, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If no such event is aired by December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the event.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Steve Bannon say at AmericaFest on December 19?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Trump 10+ times" at 100%, followed by "Populist / Populism 2+ times" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will Steve Bannon say at AmericaFest on December 19?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 12, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will Steve Bannon say at AmericaFest on December 19?," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Steve Bannon say at AmericaFest on December 19?" is "Trump 10+ times" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Populist / Populism 2+ times" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Steve Bannon say at AmericaFest on December 19?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.