Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Winner

$603,576 Vol.

Mar 15, 2026

Stellan Skarsgård 46%

Sean Penn 27%

Benicio Del Toro 15%

Jacob Elordi 8.1%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Stellan Skarsgård
$103,245 Vol.
46%

Sean Penn
$101,091 Vol.
27%

Benicio Del Toro
$24,364 Vol.
15%

Jacob Elordi
$49,522 Vol.
8%

Paul Mescal
$27,661 Vol.
2%

Delroy Lindo
$49,167 Vol.
<1%

Akira Emoto
$20,992 Vol.
<1%

Peter Dinklage
$17,910 Vol.
<1%

Adam Sandler
$21,202 Vol.
<1%

Jack O'Connell
$54,628 Vol.
<1%

Jeremy Strong
$33,909 Vol.
<1%

Miles Caton
$17,532 Vol.
<1%

Andrew Garfield
$21,909 Vol.
<1%

Sean Bean
$21,971 Vol.
<1%

Diego Luna
$19,391 Vol.
<1%

Jonathan Bailey
$19,082 Vol.
<1%

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Sep 26, 2025, 5:20 PM ET

Volume

$603,576

End Date

Mar 15, 2026

Created At

Sep 26, 2025, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$603,576 Vol.

Mar 15, 2026

Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Stellan Skarsgård 46%

Sean Penn 27%

Benicio Del Toro 15%

Jacob Elordi 8.1%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Stellan Skarsgård

$103,245 Vol.

46%

Sean Penn

$101,091 Vol.

27%

Benicio Del Toro

$24,364 Vol.

15%

Jacob Elordi

$49,522 Vol.

Paul Mescal

$27,661 Vol.

Delroy Lindo

$49,167 Vol.

<1%

Akira Emoto

$20,992 Vol.

<1%

Peter Dinklage

$17,910 Vol.

<1%

Adam Sandler

$21,202 Vol.

<1%

Jack O'Connell

$54,628 Vol.

<1%

Jeremy Strong

$33,909 Vol.

<1%

Miles Caton

$17,532 Vol.

<1%

Andrew Garfield

$21,909 Vol.

<1%

Sean Bean

$21,971 Vol.

<1%

Diego Luna

$19,391 Vol.

<1%

Jonathan Bailey

$19,082 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$603,576

End Date

Mar 15, 2026

Created At

Sep 26, 2025, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

68%

Will Sean Penn be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

99%

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

78%

Beware of external links.

Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Stellan Skarsgård
$103,245 Vol.
46%

Sean Penn
$101,091 Vol.
27%

Benicio Del Toro
$24,364 Vol.
15%

Jacob Elordi
$49,522 Vol.
8%

Paul Mescal
$27,661 Vol.
2%

Delroy Lindo
$49,167 Vol.
<1%

Akira Emoto
$20,992 Vol.
<1%

Peter Dinklage
$17,910 Vol.
<1%

Adam Sandler
$21,202 Vol.
<1%

Jack O'Connell
$54,628 Vol.
<1%

Jeremy Strong
$33,909 Vol.
<1%

Miles Caton
$17,532 Vol.
<1%

Andrew Garfield
$21,909 Vol.
<1%

Sean Bean
$21,971 Vol.
<1%

Diego Luna
$19,391 Vol.
<1%

Jonathan Bailey
$19,082 Vol.
<1%

Market Context