Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts toward silver (SI) surpassing the $32 threshold by March 31, with implied probabilities hovering around 55-60% amid a recent 5% monthly rally to $31.20 spot levels, fueled by robust industrial demand from solar panel production and electronics amid China's stimulus measures. Key supports include a weakening U.S. dollar index below 103 and gold's parallel surge past $2,700/oz, amplifying safe-haven flows. However, headwinds from potential Fed hawkishness loom, with the March 19 FOMC meeting and PCE inflation data on March 28 critical catalysts—traders eye sustained rates above 2.5% CPI to cap upside. Historical precedent shows silver's volatility spikes 15% pre-Fed decisions, underscoring resolution risks near expiry.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$839,369 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
2%
↑ $120
2%
↑ $115
2%
↑ $110
2%
↑ $105
3%
↑ $100
8%
↑ $95
7%
↓ $75
76%
↓ $70
32%
↓ $65
10%
↓ $60
2%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
$839,369 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
2%
↑ $120
2%
↑ $115
2%
↑ $110
2%
↑ $105
3%
↑ $100
8%
↑ $95
7%
↓ $75
76%
↓ $70
32%
↓ $65
10%
↓ $60
2%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Market Opened: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts toward silver (SI) surpassing the $32 threshold by March 31, with implied probabilities hovering around 55-60% amid a recent 5% monthly rally to $31.20 spot levels, fueled by robust industrial demand from solar panel production and electronics amid China's stimulus measures. Key supports include a weakening U.S. dollar index below 103 and gold's parallel surge past $2,700/oz, amplifying safe-haven flows. However, headwinds from potential Fed hawkishness loom, with the March 19 FOMC meeting and PCE inflation data on March 28 critical catalysts—traders eye sustained rates above 2.5% CPI to cap upside. Historical precedent shows silver's volatility spikes 15% pre-Fed decisions, underscoring resolution risks near expiry.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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