Recent strength in US economic data and the Federal Reserve’s September rate hike to the 3.75–4.00% target range have reinforced expectations of further tightening, widening the policy differential with the ECB and supporting the dollar. EUR/USD has consequently slipped below 1.14 to multi-week lows as of late September 2026, with traders assigning roughly even odds to an additional Fed hike before year-end. The ECB’s own 25 bp increase to a 2.50% deposit rate has provided only limited support amid mixed euro-area growth signals and energy-price volatility. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming FOMC and ECB meetings, US and eurozone inflation prints, and PMI releases that will shape rate-path revisions and implied probability shifts in currency markets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$90,479 Vol.
↑ 1.40
2%
↑ 1.35
2%
↑ 1.30
3%
↑ 1.26
6%
↑ 1.24
9%
↑ 1.22
19%
↑ 1.20
30%
↓ 1.12
59%
↓ 1.10
40%
↓ 1.05
9%
↓ 1.00
5%
$90,479 Vol.
↑ 1.40
2%
↑ 1.35
2%
↑ 1.30
3%
↑ 1.26
6%
↑ 1.24
9%
↑ 1.22
19%
↑ 1.20
30%
↓ 1.12
59%
↓ 1.10
40%
↓ 1.05
9%
↓ 1.00
5%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Market Opened: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070be91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Resolver
0x65070be91...Recent strength in US economic data and the Federal Reserve’s September rate hike to the 3.75–4.00% target range have reinforced expectations of further tightening, widening the policy differential with the ECB and supporting the dollar. EUR/USD has consequently slipped below 1.14 to multi-week lows as of late September 2026, with traders assigning roughly even odds to an additional Fed hike before year-end. The ECB’s own 25 bp increase to a 2.50% deposit rate has provided only limited support amid mixed euro-area growth signals and energy-price volatility. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming FOMC and ECB meetings, US and eurozone inflation prints, and PMI releases that will shape rate-path revisions and implied probability shifts in currency markets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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