Recent U.S. PMI strength and hawkish Federal Reserve communications have reinforced expectations for additional policy tightening, supporting the dollar and driving EUR/USD to multi-week lows near 1.14 as of late September 2026. The Fed’s September rate increase to the 3.75–4.00% range, coupled with roughly 53% market-implied odds of a further hike, has widened the policy differential versus the ECB’s 2.50% deposit rate. Softer euro-area growth signals and energy-price volatility have added downside pressure on the pair, which has declined over 2% in the past month. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming U.S. nonfarm payrolls, core PCE data, and the next FOMC meeting, which could further shape rate-path differentials and exchange-rate volatility through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$90,479 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
↑ 1.40
2%
↑ 1.35
2%
↑ 1.30
3%
↑ 1.26
6%
↑ 1.24
9%
↑ 1.22
19%
↑ 1.20
30%
↓ 1.12
58%
↓ 1.10
40%
↓ 1.05
9%
↓ 1.00
5%
$90,479 Vol.
↑ 1.40
$2,214 Vol.
2%
↑ 1.35
$1,579 Vol.
2%
↑ 1.30
$901 Vol.
3%
↑ 1.26
$3,132 Vol.
6%
↑ 1.24
$2,809 Vol.
9%
↑ 1.22
$424 Vol.
19%
↑ 1.20
$41,022 Vol.
30%
↓ 1.12
$2,851 Vol.
58%
↓ 1.10
$3,960 Vol.
40%
↓ 1.05
$6,494 Vol.
9%
↓ 1.00
$5,103 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Recent U.S. PMI strength and hawkish Federal Reserve communications have reinforced expectations for additional policy tightening, supporting the dollar and driving EUR/USD to multi-week lows near 1.14 as of late September 2026. The Fed’s September rate increase to the 3.75–4.00% range, coupled with roughly 53% market-implied odds of a further hike, has widened the policy differential versus the ECB’s 2.50% deposit rate. Softer euro-area growth signals and energy-price volatility have added downside pressure on the pair, which has declined over 2% in the past month. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming U.S. nonfarm payrolls, core PCE data, and the next FOMC meeting, which could further shape rate-path differentials and exchange-rate volatility through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Market Opened: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Volume
$90,479End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Recent U.S. PMI strength and hawkish Federal Reserve communications have reinforced expectations for additional policy tightening, supporting the dollar and driving EUR/USD to multi-week lows near 1.14 as of late September 2026. The Fed’s September rate increase to the 3.75–4.00% range, coupled with roughly 53% market-implied odds of a further hike, has widened the policy differential versus the ECB’s 2.50% deposit rate. Softer euro-area growth signals and energy-price volatility have added downside pressure on the pair, which has declined over 2% in the past month. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming U.S. nonfarm payrolls, core PCE data, and the next FOMC meeting, which could further shape rate-path differentials and exchange-rate volatility through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Volume
$90,479End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070be91...Recent U.S. PMI strength and hawkish Federal Reserve communications have reinforced expectations for additional policy tightening, supporting the dollar and driving EUR/USD to multi-week lows near 1.14 as of late September 2026. The Fed’s September rate increase to the 3.75–4.00% range, coupled with roughly 53% market-implied odds of a further hike, has widened the policy differential versus the ECB’s 2.50% deposit rate. Softer euro-area growth signals and energy-price volatility have added downside pressure on the pair, which has declined over 2% in the past month. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming U.S. nonfarm payrolls, core PCE data, and the next FOMC meeting, which could further shape rate-path differentials and exchange-rate volatility through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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