Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning, with traders pricing limited Fed easing through 2026 alongside a more stable or potentially tighter ECB stance amid euro-area inflation near 2%. The pair currently trades near 1.152, having ranged between roughly 1.14 and 1.20 since early 2026 after opening the year around 1.17. Stronger-than-expected U.S. nonfarm payrolls and growth data have supported the dollar recently, while forecasts from major banks cluster between 1.18 and 1.25 by year-end, reflecting capital flows into European assets and narrowing rate differentials. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC and ECB decisions, June inflation releases, and labor market reports that could shift implied rate paths and test resistance near 1.20 or support at 1.15.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$75,375 Vol.
31 dic 2026
↑ 1,40
7%
↑ 1,35
10%
↑ 1,30
20%
↑ 1,26
28%
↑ 1,24
19%
↑ 1,22
48%
↑ 1,20
67%
↓ 1,14
60%
↓ 1,12
26%
↓ 1,10
25%
↓ 1,05
9%
↓ 1.00
8%
$75,375 Vol.
↑ 1,40
$1,682 Vol.
7%
↑ 1,35
$1,048 Vol.
10%
↑ 1,30
$609 Vol.
20%
↑ 1,26
$2,849 Vol.
28%
↑ 1,24
$1,941 Vol.
19%
↑ 1,22
$320 Vol.
48%
↑ 1,20
$40,412 Vol.
67%
↓ 1,14
$5,668 Vol.
60%
↓ 1,12
$1,826 Vol.
26%
↓ 1,10
$2,727 Vol.
25%
↓ 1,05
$2,946 Vol.
9%
↓ 1.00
$3,486 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning, with traders pricing limited Fed easing through 2026 alongside a more stable or potentially tighter ECB stance amid euro-area inflation near 2%. The pair currently trades near 1.152, having ranged between roughly 1.14 and 1.20 since early 2026 after opening the year around 1.17. Stronger-than-expected U.S. nonfarm payrolls and growth data have supported the dollar recently, while forecasts from major banks cluster between 1.18 and 1.25 by year-end, reflecting capital flows into European assets and narrowing rate differentials. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC and ECB decisions, June inflation releases, and labor market reports that could shift implied rate paths and test resistance near 1.20 or support at 1.15.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Mercado abierto: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Volumen
$75,375Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning, with traders pricing limited Fed easing through 2026 alongside a more stable or potentially tighter ECB stance amid euro-area inflation near 2%. The pair currently trades near 1.152, having ranged between roughly 1.14 and 1.20 since early 2026 after opening the year around 1.17. Stronger-than-expected U.S. nonfarm payrolls and growth data have supported the dollar recently, while forecasts from major banks cluster between 1.18 and 1.25 by year-end, reflecting capital flows into European assets and narrowing rate differentials. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC and ECB decisions, June inflation releases, and labor market reports that could shift implied rate paths and test resistance near 1.20 or support at 1.15.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Volumen
$75,375Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning, with traders pricing limited Fed easing through 2026 alongside a more stable or potentially tighter ECB stance amid euro-area inflation near 2%. The pair currently trades near 1.152, having ranged between roughly 1.14 and 1.20 since early 2026 after opening the year around 1.17. Stronger-than-expected U.S. nonfarm payrolls and growth data have supported the dollar recently, while forecasts from major banks cluster between 1.18 and 1.25 by year-end, reflecting capital flows into European assets and narrowing rate differentials. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC and ECB decisions, June inflation releases, and labor market reports that could shift implied rate paths and test resistance near 1.20 or support at 1.15.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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