Polymarket trader consensus reflects a tightly contested outlook for Tesla (TSLA) share price at the April 25 weekly close, with >$410 edging out at 34.5% implied probability amid clustered 29-30.5% odds for $370-$410 buckets. This fragmentation stems from TSLA's sharp 12% rally last week to $400.62 April 17 close—snapping an eight-week losing streak—fueled by robotaxi service expansion to Dallas and Houston, offsetting Q1 delivery misses at 358,000 units versus expectations. Pivotal catalyst is April 22 earnings, with analysts forecasting $21.4-22.4 billion revenue and $0.37 EPS amid China sales gains but broader EV demand weakness; autonomy guidance and margin trends will differentiate upside versus pullback risks near consensus targets of $398.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTesla (TSLA) closes week of Apr 20 at ___?
Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Apr 20 at ___?
>$410 38%
$395-$400 31%
$380-$385 30%
$385-$390 30%
<$365
27%
$365-$370
20%
$370-$375
31%
$375-$380
22%
$380-$385
30%
$385-$390
30%
$390-$395
29%
$395-$400
31%
$400-$405
30%
$405-$410
12%
>$410
38%
>$410 38%
$395-$400 31%
$380-$385 30%
$385-$390 30%
<$365
27%
$365-$370
20%
$370-$375
31%
$375-$380
22%
$380-$385
30%
$385-$390
30%
$390-$395
29%
$395-$400
31%
$400-$405
30%
$405-$410
12%
>$410
38%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket trader consensus reflects a tightly contested outlook for Tesla (TSLA) share price at the April 25 weekly close, with >$410 edging out at 34.5% implied probability amid clustered 29-30.5% odds for $370-$410 buckets. This fragmentation stems from TSLA's sharp 12% rally last week to $400.62 April 17 close—snapping an eight-week losing streak—fueled by robotaxi service expansion to Dallas and Houston, offsetting Q1 delivery misses at 358,000 units versus expectations. Pivotal catalyst is April 22 earnings, with analysts forecasting $21.4-22.4 billion revenue and $0.37 EPS amid China sales gains but broader EV demand weakness; autonomy guidance and margin trends will differentiate upside versus pullback risks near consensus targets of $398.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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