Tesla (TSLA) share price closed at $376.30 on Friday, April 24, 2026—the final trading day of the week starting April 20—locking in 100% market-implied probability for the $375-$380 bin as traders' consensus aligns with the verified Nasdaq auction price. This positioning stems from Q1 2026 earnings released April 22, where adjusted EPS of $0.41 beat analyst estimates of $0.37 despite revenue of $22.39 billion slightly missing $22.64 billion expectations, followed by elevated 2026 capital expenditure guidance for AI and robotics that prompted a 4% weekly pullback from April 20's $392.50 close amid heightened volatility. The overwhelming trader sentiment, backed by real capital, reflects the event's resolution; realistic challenges would require rare official data revisions from the exchange.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTesla (TSLA) closes week of Apr 20 at ___?
$375-$380 100.0%
<$365 <1%
$365-$370 <1%
$370-$375 <1%
$19,046 Vol.
$19,046 Vol.
<$365
No
$365-$370
No
$370-$375
No
$375-$380
Yes
$380-$385
No
$385-$390
No
$390-$395
No
$395-$400
No
$400-$405
No
$405-$410
No
>$410
No
$375-$380 100.0%
<$365 <1%
$365-$370 <1%
$370-$375 <1%
$19,046 Vol.
$19,046 Vol.
<$365
No
$365-$370
No
$370-$375
No
$375-$380
Yes
$380-$385
No
$385-$390
No
$390-$395
No
$395-$400
No
$400-$405
No
$405-$410
No
>$410
No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Tesla (TSLA) share price closed at $376.30 on Friday, April 24, 2026—the final trading day of the week starting April 20—locking in 100% market-implied probability for the $375-$380 bin as traders' consensus aligns with the verified Nasdaq auction price. This positioning stems from Q1 2026 earnings released April 22, where adjusted EPS of $0.41 beat analyst estimates of $0.37 despite revenue of $22.39 billion slightly missing $22.64 billion expectations, followed by elevated 2026 capital expenditure guidance for AI and robotics that prompted a 4% weekly pullback from April 20's $392.50 close amid heightened volatility. The overwhelming trader sentiment, backed by real capital, reflects the event's resolution; realistic challenges would require rare official data revisions from the exchange.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions