Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Netflix (NFLX) shares closing the week of April 20 within $90-$100, driven by the stock's persistent trading in the low-$90s range—latest April 24 close at $92.44 amid elevated volume of over 30 million shares. This positioning follows a post-Q1 2026 earnings miss around April 16-17, where subscriber growth underwhelmed despite price hikes, pushing shares down from $97+ to the $92 level; however, the April 23 announcement of a $25 billion share buyback authorization stabilized sentiment and curbed further downside. With Friday's close imminent, barring an extreme intraday swing from unforeseen news like regulatory shocks or macro selloffs, the outcome appears firmly set, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing near-term resolution certainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$90-$100 100.0%
<$60 <1%
$60-$70 <1%
$70-$80 <1%
$8,127 Vol.
$8,127 Vol.
<$60
No
$60-$70
No
$70-$80
No
$80-$90
No
$90-$100
Yes
$100-$110
No
$110-$120
No
$120-$130
No
$130-$140
No
$140-$150
No
>$150
No
$90-$100 100.0%
<$60 <1%
$60-$70 <1%
$70-$80 <1%
$8,127 Vol.
$8,127 Vol.
<$60
No
$60-$70
No
$70-$80
No
$80-$90
No
$90-$100
Yes
$100-$110
No
$110-$120
No
$120-$130
No
$130-$140
No
$140-$150
No
>$150
No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Netflix (NFLX) shares closing the week of April 20 within $90-$100, driven by the stock's persistent trading in the low-$90s range—latest April 24 close at $92.44 amid elevated volume of over 30 million shares. This positioning follows a post-Q1 2026 earnings miss around April 16-17, where subscriber growth underwhelmed despite price hikes, pushing shares down from $97+ to the $92 level; however, the April 23 announcement of a $25 billion share buyback authorization stabilized sentiment and curbed further downside. With Friday's close imminent, barring an extreme intraday swing from unforeseen news like regulatory shocks or macro selloffs, the outcome appears firmly set, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing near-term resolution certainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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