Trader sentiment for Epstein Island visitor probabilities hinges on 2024 unsealed court documents from the Giuffre-Maxwell lawsuit, which listed over 150 Epstein associates including Bill Clinton, Prince Andrew, and Alan Dershowitz, though most names were previously public and no island visits were newly confirmed for many. Flight logs indicate frequent Little St. James landings for Epstein's jet, but direct visitor verification remains sparse, fueling uncertainty. No significant releases have emerged since January, stabilizing odds around documented associations rather than unproven claims. Upcoming judicial actions or Epstein-related probes could shift consensus, as traders weigh evidence against denials.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$688,126 Vol.
Steve Bannon
13%
Richard Branson
13%
Woody Allen
11%
Steven Tisch
10%
Noam Chomsky
10%
Deepak Chopra
10%
Harvey Weinstein
9%
Bill Clinton
9%
Kevin Spacey
8%
Bill Gates
8%
Donald Trump
6%
Elon Musk
4%
Bill Cosby
4%
Hillary Clinton
4%
Jay-Z
4%
Michael Jackson
4%
Peter Attia
3%
Marco Rubio
1%
$688,126 Vol.
Steve Bannon
13%
Richard Branson
13%
Woody Allen
11%
Steven Tisch
10%
Noam Chomsky
10%
Deepak Chopra
10%
Harvey Weinstein
9%
Bill Clinton
9%
Kevin Spacey
8%
Bill Gates
8%
Donald Trump
6%
Elon Musk
4%
Bill Cosby
4%
Hillary Clinton
4%
Jay-Z
4%
Michael Jackson
4%
Peter Attia
3%
Marco Rubio
1%
This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment for Epstein Island visitor probabilities hinges on 2024 unsealed court documents from the Giuffre-Maxwell lawsuit, which listed over 150 Epstein associates including Bill Clinton, Prince Andrew, and Alan Dershowitz, though most names were previously public and no island visits were newly confirmed for many. Flight logs indicate frequent Little St. James landings for Epstein's jet, but direct visitor verification remains sparse, fueling uncertainty. No significant releases have emerged since January, stabilizing odds around documented associations rather than unproven claims. Upcoming judicial actions or Epstein-related probes could shift consensus, as traders weigh evidence against denials.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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