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Elections·Municipal Council

Rotterdam Municipal Election Winner

Market icon
Elections·Municipal Council

Rotterdam Municipal Election Winner

$5,818 Vol.

Polymarket

$5,818 Vol.

Market icon

GroenLinks–Labour Party (GL–PvdA)

$5,155 Vol.

99%

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Livable Rotterdam (LR)

$0 Vol.

<1%

Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).

Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).
Volume
$5,818
End Date
Mar 18, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 7:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).

GroenLinks–Labour Party (GL–PvdA) holds a commanding 99.4% implied probability on Polymarket as the projected winner of Rotterdam's municipal council election, driven by official results from the March 16, 2022, vote showing the alliance securing 27.8% of the vote and 15 seats—the largest bloc in the 45-seat council. This outcome aligned with late polling trends favoring progressive coalitions amid urban issues like housing and climate, surpassing Livable Rotterdam's (LR) 14.7% and 10 seats despite their populist appeal on immigration. Trader consensus reflects certified tallies from the Dutch Electoral Council with no active recounts or disputes. Realistic challenges would require substantiated irregularities triggering a court-ordered revote, though none have emerged, underscoring the stability of the result.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Rotterdam Municipal Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "GroenLinks–Labour Party (GL–PvdA)" at 99%, followed by "Livable Rotterdam (LR)" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Rotterdam Municipal Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Rotterdam Municipal Election Winner," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Rotterdam Municipal Election Winner" is "GroenLinks–Labour Party (GL–PvdA)" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Livable Rotterdam (LR)" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Rotterdam Municipal Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.