Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the March average U.S. retail price for a dozen large Grade A eggs in the $2.25–2.75 range at 81% implied probability, centering on $2.25–2.50 (50%) amid recovering supply chains. Primary drivers include the ebbing impact of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI), with USDA data showing table egg layer flocks rebounding to 292 million head by early March—up from January lows—after culling 100+ million birds since 2022. Wholesale prices have plunged 60% from $4.82/dozen peaks in late January to ~$2.00 by mid-March, easing retail margins. Recent developments, like a 70% drop in HPAI detections and stable corn feed costs at $4.50/bushel, reinforce downward pressure, though seasonal Easter demand poses mild upside risk before BLS April CPI locks in the official March average.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedPrice of Dozen Eggs in March?
Price of Dozen Eggs in March?
$2.25–2.50 50%
$2.50–2.75 31%
$2.75–3.00 10.6%
$2.00–2.25 6%
$87,448 Vol.
$87,448 Vol.
<$2.00
1%
$2.00–2.25
6%
$2.25–2.50
50%
$2.50–2.75
31%
$2.75–3.00
11%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
1%
$3.75–4.00
1%
≥$4.00
2%
$2.25–2.50 50%
$2.50–2.75 31%
$2.75–3.00 10.6%
$2.00–2.25 6%
$87,448 Vol.
$87,448 Vol.
<$2.00
1%
$2.00–2.25
6%
$2.25–2.50
50%
$2.50–2.75
31%
$2.75–3.00
11%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
1%
$3.75–4.00
1%
≥$4.00
2%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Market Opened: Mar 11, 2026, 1:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the March average U.S. retail price for a dozen large Grade A eggs in the $2.25–2.75 range at 81% implied probability, centering on $2.25–2.50 (50%) amid recovering supply chains. Primary drivers include the ebbing impact of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI), with USDA data showing table egg layer flocks rebounding to 292 million head by early March—up from January lows—after culling 100+ million birds since 2022. Wholesale prices have plunged 60% from $4.82/dozen peaks in late January to ~$2.00 by mid-March, easing retail margins. Recent developments, like a 70% drop in HPAI detections and stable corn feed costs at $4.50/bushel, reinforce downward pressure, though seasonal Easter demand poses mild upside risk before BLS April CPI locks in the official March average.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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