Trader consensus on White House X posts from March 17-24, 2026, clusters around 160-199 (over 80% implied probability), reflecting uncertainty over the 2024 election outcome and its impact on account activity. Historical patterns show Republican administrations, particularly under Trump, averaging 20+ daily posts during high-engagement periods, versus 10-15 under Biden, blending to mid-170s at current Polymarket election odds favoring Trump at ~55%. The race stays tight due to volatile swing-state polling and debate performances, with no clear catalyst for separation yet. Upcoming VP announcements or October debates could shift election probabilities, widening spreads toward 200+ or sub-160 ranges based on winner momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWhite House # posts March 17 - March 24, 2026?
White House # posts March 17 - March 24, 2026?
160-179 35.4%
180-199 29%
200+ 21%
140-159 10%
$58,770 Vol.
$58,770 Vol.
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
1%
140-159
10%
160-179
35%
180-199
29%
200+
21%
160-179 35.4%
180-199 29%
200+ 21%
140-159 10%
$58,770 Vol.
$58,770 Vol.
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
1%
140-159
10%
160-179
35%
180-199
29%
200+
21%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on White House X posts from March 17-24, 2026, clusters around 160-199 (over 80% implied probability), reflecting uncertainty over the 2024 election outcome and its impact on account activity. Historical patterns show Republican administrations, particularly under Trump, averaging 20+ daily posts during high-engagement periods, versus 10-15 under Biden, blending to mid-170s at current Polymarket election odds favoring Trump at ~55%. The race stays tight due to volatile swing-state polling and debate performances, with no clear catalyst for separation yet. Upcoming VP announcements or October debates could shift election probabilities, widening spreads toward 200+ or sub-160 ranges based on winner momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Beware of external links.
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