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Highest temperature in Taipei on March 27?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Taipei on March 27?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

22°C 40%

21°C or below 31.0%

23°C 28%

24°C 10%

Polymarket

$47,326 Vol.

22°C 40%

21°C or below 31.0%

23°C 28%

24°C 10%

Polymarket

$47,326 Vol.

21°C or below

$2,844 Vol.

31%

22°C

$889 Vol.

40%

23°C

$1,020 Vol.

28%

24°C

$1,776 Vol.

10%

25°C

$1,741 Vol.

2%

26°C

$2,355 Vol.

2%

27°C

$1,575 Vol.

<1%

28°C

$1,006 Vol.

1%

29°C

$1,316 Vol.

1%

30°C

$1,431 Vol.

1%

31°C or higher

$31,625 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Taipei high of 22°C (39.5%) or 23°C (27.5%), reflecting the latest forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) projecting mild spring conditions with daytime highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid a stable high-pressure system. Recent observational data shows Taipei's highs averaging 21-23°C over the past week, consistent with seasonal norms influenced by lingering East Asian winter monsoon remnants and minimal tropical moisture. Ensemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS align on limited warming potential due to cool northeasterly winds, though minor discrepancies exist for afternoon peaks. Traders await CWA's next update tomorrow, as small-scale convective activity could nudge outcomes toward 24°C (9.5%), but historical March precedents support the current market-implied odds around 22-23°C.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$47,326
End Date
Mar 27, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 6:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Taipei high of 22°C (39.5%) or 23°C (27.5%), reflecting the latest forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) projecting mild spring conditions with daytime highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid a stable high-pressure system. Recent observational data shows Taipei's highs averaging 21-23°C over the past week, consistent with seasonal norms influenced by lingering East Asian winter monsoon remnants and minimal tropical moisture. Ensemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS align on limited warming potential due to cool northeasterly winds, though minor discrepancies exist for afternoon peaks. Traders await CWA's next update tomorrow, as small-scale convective activity could nudge outcomes toward 24°C (9.5%), but historical March precedents support the current market-implied odds around 22-23°C.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Taipei high of 22°C (39.5%) or 23°C (27.5%), reflecting the latest forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) projecting mild spring conditions with daytime highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid a stable high-pressure system. Recent observational data shows Taipei's highs averaging 21-23°C over the past week, consistent with seasonal norms influenced by lingering East Asian winter monsoon remnants and minimal tropical moisture. Ensemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS align on limited warming potential due to cool northeasterly winds, though minor discrepancies exist for afternoon peaks. Traders await CWA's next update tomorrow, as small-scale convective activity could nudge outcomes toward 24°C (9.5%), but historical March precedents support the current market-implied odds around 22-23°C.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Taipei on March 27?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "22°C" at 40%, followed by "21°C or below" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Taipei on March 27?" has generated $47.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Taipei on March 27?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Taipei on March 27?" is "22°C" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "21°C or below" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Taipei on March 27?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.