Federal prosecutors secured a grand jury indictment against Don Lemon in late January 2026 after a magistrate judge initially declined to approve charges tied to his coverage of an anti-ICE protest inside a St. Paul church. The case centers on allegations of conspiracy to interfere with religious freedoms under federal civil rights statutes. Lemon entered a not guilty plea at his February arraignment before the same judge, with proceedings continuing without any reported motions to dismiss or prosecutorial withdrawal. Traders assessing the 88.5% probability that charges will not be dropped cite the formal indictment, active litigation timeline, and absence of intervening developments such as plea negotiations or court rulings that would signal resolution in his favor.