Recent redistricting shifted Texas's 35th district toward a modest Republican lean by moving it from Austin into San Antonio suburbs and eastern Bexar County, creating an open seat that analysts rate Likely or Lean Republican. Primary runoffs on May 26 resolved the nominees, with Democrat Johnny Garcia defeating Maureen Galindo and Republican Carlos De La Cruz defeating state Rep. John Lujan. The narrow trader consensus favoring Democrats at 53% over Republicans at 44.5% reflects the district's altered but still competitive partisan balance, early general-election positioning, and uncertainty over turnout and national midterm dynamics five months before the November vote. Further separation could come from candidate fundraising, endorsements, or polling in the coming weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
57%
Democratic Party
42%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$941 거래량
57%
Democratic Party
$1,791 거래량
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting shifted Texas's 35th district toward a modest Republican lean by moving it from Austin into San Antonio suburbs and eastern Bexar County, creating an open seat that analysts rate Likely or Lean Republican. Primary runoffs on May 26 resolved the nominees, with Democrat Johnny Garcia defeating Maureen Galindo and Republican Carlos De La Cruz defeating state Rep. John Lujan. The narrow trader consensus favoring Democrats at 53% over Republicans at 44.5% reflects the district's altered but still competitive partisan balance, early general-election positioning, and uncertainty over turnout and national midterm dynamics five months before the November vote. Further separation could come from candidate fundraising, endorsements, or polling in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
거래량
$2,733종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting shifted Texas's 35th district toward a modest Republican lean by moving it from Austin into San Antonio suburbs and eastern Bexar County, creating an open seat that analysts rate Likely or Lean Republican. Primary runoffs on May 26 resolved the nominees, with Democrat Johnny Garcia defeating Maureen Galindo and Republican Carlos De La Cruz defeating state Rep. John Lujan. The narrow trader consensus favoring Democrats at 53% over Republicans at 44.5% reflects the district's altered but still competitive partisan balance, early general-election positioning, and uncertainty over turnout and national midterm dynamics five months before the November vote. Further separation could come from candidate fundraising, endorsements, or polling in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,733종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting shifted Texas's 35th district toward a modest Republican lean by moving it from Austin into San Antonio suburbs and eastern Bexar County, creating an open seat that analysts rate Likely or Lean Republican. Primary runoffs on May 26 resolved the nominees, with Democrat Johnny Garcia defeating Maureen Galindo and Republican Carlos De La Cruz defeating state Rep. John Lujan. The narrow trader consensus favoring Democrats at 53% over Republicans at 44.5% reflects the district's altered but still competitive partisan balance, early general-election positioning, and uncertainty over turnout and national midterm dynamics five months before the November vote. Further separation could come from candidate fundraising, endorsements, or polling in the coming weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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